The latest loan restrictions are aimed at slowing house prices and transactions, and more time is needed to see if the credit controls can achieve their intended effect, central bank Governor Yang Chin-long (楊金龍) told the legislature’s Finance Committee yesterday.
Yang explained his policy decisions while taking questions from lawmakers on the latest wave of credit controls the central bank introduced on Sept. 18.
“The housing market was overheating and mortgages growing rapidly,” Yang said, adding that real-estate lending constituted 37.5 percent of overall loans, very close to the historic high of 37.9 percent in October 2009.
Photo: George Tsorng, Taipei Times
The concentration of bank lending for properties is more serious than in 2009, he said.
A day earlier, state-run Mega International Commercial Bank (兆豐銀行), First Commercial Bank (第一銀行), Hua Nan Commercial Bank (華南銀行), Chang Hwa Commercial Bank (彰化銀行) and Taiwan Cooperative Bank (合庫銀行) told lawmakers that their real-estate loans were approaching the 30 percent limit.
All are seeking to avoid breaking the requirement by slowing reviews of mortgage applications.
“It is better for the central bank to take action and cool the market rather than wait and see a housing bubble take shape,” Yang said.
The governor said it is difficult to define a bubble, but purchases of houses on expectations of price hikes would definitely facilitate the creation of a bubble.
Taiwan should learn a lesson from the housing bubbles in Japan, the US and China, which wreaked havoc on their economies, he said, adding that China is still suffering from a slow response in the beginning and an overreaction later on.
The central bank is seeking to find middle ground by lowering the loan-to-value ratio by 10 percent for all mortgages and by denying first mortgagers grace periods if they own more than one house, Yang said.
A sizeable number of Taiwanese own two houses without the need of a mortgage, he said.
A five-year grace period where mortgagers only need to pay interest could encourage short-term property speculation, the central bank said.
The government’s favorable lending terms for first homes for self-occupancy are widely blamed for the resurgence of property fever, as they come with ultra-low interest rates of 1.775 percent, a five-year grace period and mortgage terms of up to 40 years.
The Ministry of Finance, the architect of the favorable lending terms, said that only 25 percent of buyers take advantage of the five-year period.
The central bank last week conceded and extended favorable terms to people who need to move house and those who own a second home through inheritance.
The first group has to sell their second home within a year after relocation to stay qualified, it added.
The down payment is 50 percent of assessed property value for second-home mortgages, compared with 20 percent for first-home mortgages.
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
The New Taiwan dollar and Taiwanese stocks surged on signs that trade tensions between the world’s top two economies might start easing and as US tech earnings boosted the outlook of the nation’s semiconductor exports. The NT dollar strengthened as much as 3.8 percent versus the US dollar to 30.815, the biggest intraday gain since January 2011, closing at NT$31.064. The benchmark TAIEX jumped 2.73 percent to outperform the region’s equity gauges. Outlook for global trade improved after China said it is assessing possible trade talks with the US, providing a boost for the nation’s currency and shares. As the NT dollar
PRESSURE EXPECTED: The appreciation of the NT dollar reflected expectations that Washington would press Taiwan to boost its currency against the US dollar, dealers said Taiwan’s export-oriented semiconductor and auto part manufacturers are expecting their margins to be affected by large foreign exchange losses as the New Taiwan dollar continued to appreciate sharply against the US dollar yesterday. Among major semiconductor manufacturers, ASE Technology Holding Co (日月光), the world’s largest integrated circuit (IC) packaging and testing services provider, said that whenever the NT dollar rises NT$1 against the greenback, its gross margin is cut by about 1.5 percent. The NT dollar traded as strong as NT$29.59 per US dollar before trimming gains to close NT$0.919, or 2.96 percent, higher at NT$30.145 yesterday in Taipei trading