Visit a mid-sized store in an Indian city, and you would wonder if it exists to make any money. It might just as well be there to process transactions for half-a-dozen payment apps: PhonePe, Paytm, Google Pay, BharatPe, Amazon Pay and MobiKwik. Add up the merchants who have downloaded the digital services and the figure quickly reaches 80 million.
One-third of India’s 60 million-plus small businesses are using an average of four different platforms, said Raman Khanduja, chief executive officer of Mintoak, a Mumbai-based fintech.
“The neighborhood shopkeepers’ bandwidth is getting sucked into accepting money,” he says. “When do they run their business?”
There are several juggling acts going on, apart from the millions of owners of small businesses reconciling their accounts across the many services that have sprung up as an alternative to cash and plastic.
The payment apps do not make any money out of this activity because they all run on a shared public utility. What they get is data that they can analyze to predict the creditworthiness of the small shops.
It is the banks that ultimately issue loans to these “thin-file” customers, but fintech controls the flow of information — and gets remunerated by the lenders for finding creditworthy merchants.
BANK QUESTION
Why have the banks let fintech get between them and all these potential clients?
Historically, depository institutions in emerging markets such as India did not see much business in democratizing cashless payments. Card readers were costly pieces of hardware and could only be deployed at shops that were well-established. These point-of-sale devices were also dumb: Even when the lenders got data about a store that was swiping a lot of cards issued by them, to advance money to a retailer based on that knowledge required multiple sales calls. It was not worth the trouble then, and makes even less sense now that India’s digital revolution has put plastic in the shade.
Credit and debit cards get swiped in two out of 10 transactions — usually for higher-value purchases and at bigger retailers.
Banks also fell behind in embracing payments on smartphones.
They do not have a tech DNA and the weight of their legacy infrastructure made their own online products clunky.
Fintech, which was far nimbler and more willing to shower generous cash-backs at early adopters, jumped on the opportunity created by India’s six-year-old Unified Payments Interface. Using this highly popular, open-source protocol, mobile apps in India move funds in real time — using phone numbers for person-to-person transfers and QR codes to settle shopping bills.
POPULAR METHOD
Nearly 2 billion such merchant transactions got done in February. The Indian government mandates that all Unified Payments Interface transactions be free of charge.
You would think that the apps, looking for ways to make money from payments, would attack the banks’ deposit-taking franchise, then. They are, actually. BharatPe part-owns a bank and is thus in a position to lure retailers to switch their current accounts. Similarly, Alphabet Inc’s Google Pay, the second most popular consumer wallet in India after Walmart Inc-owned PhonePe, is using its sway to promote fixed deposits.
WHAT’S THE POINT?
If lenders lose control of demand and time deposits, what is even the point of having a banking license?
Lending in a digital world is proving to be equally problematic. Banks are not intuitively geared to handle the unique requirements of small businesses. Suppose the salesperson for Unilever PLC’s local unit shows up at a store and says: “Since I have to meet my quarterly target, you can have another 5 percent discount if you pay upfront.”
Traditional lenders’ internal processes are too slow to clear an immediate loan like that. What is needed are pre-approved credit limits based on the borrower’s digital cash flows and innovative products such as buy-now, pay-later — but for retailers.
This is what banks have been missing out on.
Now they want to reclaim the lost ground, but can they?
Perhaps.
They would have to come in as consolidators, leveraging the trust advantage they still have over fintech, which is hobbled by its own ubiquity. Because there are already so many apps on an average shopkeeper’s phone, each service obtains only a fragment of actual sales.
WHITE-LABEL PLATFORM
“Nobody is getting enough data to offer meaningful financial services,” Khanduja says.
That is why the former Visa Inc executive, together with a couple of his colleagues, came up with the idea of Mintoak, a white-label merchant-payment platform for banks that can accept all digital payments, as well as cash and cards.
It produces a single report, leaving retailers free to run their business.
Mintoak, which works with HDFC Bank Ltd and State Bank of India, two of India’s largest lenders, earns a subscription fee and gets a cut on products that banks sell on the platform.
HDFC Bank owns 5.2 percent of the start-up.
EMERGING MARKETS
India’s success in digital finance has inspired many emerging markets to design payments along similar lines, giving Mintoak a foothold in the Middle East and the prospect of its first client in Africa.
“We want to reconnect banks with SMEs [small and medium-sized enterprises],” Khanduja says.
Payments are not the only way to tap small businesses. A vast chunk of the working capital that retailers need is embedded in the inventory. This credit used to reach them informally via distributors of brands, but it is increasingly being provided by e-commerce platforms such as venture capital-backed Udaan and billionaire Mukesh Ambani’s JioMart app for neighborhood stores.
STANDARD CHARTERED
UK-based Standard Chartered PLC has made an attempt to get into India’s business-to-business e-commerce with the hope of replicating the model in Kenya and other emerging markets.
However, most other banks would rather stick to what they know.
Luckily for them, none of the existing merchant-payment apps still has the revenue heft of a Block Inc — formerly Square Inc — in the US.
Before a dominant player emerges in the fragmented market, India’s banks need to find their way back to the cash counter.
Andy Mukherjee is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering industrial companies and financial services.
AI SPLURGE: The four major US tech companies have lost more than US$950 billion in value since releasing earnings and outlooks, while equipment makers were gaining Four of the biggest US technology companies together have forecast capital expenditures that would reach about US$650 billion this year — a flood of cash earmarked for new data centers and all the gear within them. The spending planned by Alphabet Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Meta Platforms Inc and Microsoft Corp, all in pursuit of dominance in the still-nascent market for artificial intelligence (AI) tools, is a boom without a parallel this century. Each of the companies’ estimates for this year is expected either near or surpass their budgets for the past three years combined. They would set a high-watermark for capital spending
China’s top chipmaker has warned that breakaway spending on artificial intelligence (AI) chips is bringing forward years of future demand, raising the risk that some data centers could sit idle. “Companies would love to build 10 years’ worth of data center capacity within one or two years,” Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC, 中芯) cochief executive officer Zhao Haijun (趙海軍) said yesterday on a call with analysts. “As for what exactly these data centers will do, that hasn’t been fully thought through.” Moody’s Ratings projects that AI-related infrastructure investment would exceed US$3 trillion over the next five years, as developers pour eye-watering sums
Bank of America Corp nearly doubled its forecast for the nation’s economic growth this year, adding to a slew of upgrades even after a rip-roaring last year propelled by demand for artificial intelligence (AI). The firm lifted its projection to 8 percent from 4.5 percent on “relentless global demand” for the hardware that Taiwanese companies make, according to a note dated yesterday by analysts including Xiaoqing Pi (皮曉青). Taiwan’s GDP expanded 8.63 percent last year, the fastest pace since 2010. The increase “reflects our sustained optimism over Taiwan’s technology driven expansion and is reinforced by several recent developments,” including a more stable currency,
COLLABORATION: Taiwan and the US could jointly find solutions to weaknesses in supply chain resilience for critical materials, focusing on mining and initial refinement Taiwan is likely to purchase rare earths from the US in the future, and is also in talks with Australia and Canada to strengthen global rare earth supply chain security, Minister of Economic Affairs Kung Ming-hsin (龔明鑫) said yesterday. Taiwan and the US last month concluded the sixth Economic Prosperity Partnership Dialogue, during which both sides signed a joint statement endorsing the principles of the Pax Silica Declaration, pledging to deepen cooperation in areas including critical minerals. At the time, Kung said the two sides would establish working groups to advance cooperation in areas including artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, critical materials and