Chinese buyers have not only stopped snapping up iconic overseas assets, the COVID-19 pandemic is ravaging the targets of deals that defined a headier era.
Whereas some prolific acquirers such as HNA Group Co (海航集團) and Anbang Insurance Group Co (安邦保險集團) began falling into disarray before the crisis, the impact on investments in sectors hit hardest by the outbreak means healthier owners are now feeling the pain.
Conglomerate Fosun International Ltd (復星國際) could soon see its 2015 investment in Cirque du Soleil Entertainment Group wiped out, while PizzaExpress, owned by private equity firm Hony Capital Ltd (弘毅投資), said this month it was likely to hand control of the British chain to creditors.
Baggage handler Swissport International AG is also negotiating with investors over a rescue that could see HNA exit the cash-strapped firm it bought in 2015, Bloomberg News has reported.
HNA is also among Virgin Australia Holdings Ltd shareholders set to lose everything after the airline collapsed in April.
“Some of the Chinese overseas investments that have recently imploded are legacy acquisitions from the debt-fueled deal spree in the years before 2018,” Lars Aagaard, head of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) and financial sponsors for Asia Pacific at Barclays PLC based in Hong Kong, said in a telephone interview.
Even Chinese firms’ pre-pandemic attempts to extricate themselves from investments are being tripped up by the pandemic.
Dajia Insurance Group (大家保險集團), the heir to troubled insurer Anbang, found itself suddenly without a buyer for a US$5.8 billion portfolio of US luxury hotels when the virus struck. South Korea’s Mirae Asset Global Investments Co did not consummate a deal agreed last fall by the April 17 deadline, prompting Dajia to sue.
Mirae told the courts that hotel shutdowns caused by the pandemic are among its reasons why it canceled the transaction.
To be sure, businesses in sectors such as transportation, tourism and hospitality are facing extreme challenges regardless of whether the owner is Chinese or someone else, Aagaard said.
At US$15.1 billion, the volume of Chinese outbound M&A so far this year represents a 25 percent drop from a year earlier and a far cry from the peak in 2016, when China National Chemical Corp (中國化工) agreed to buy Swiss agrichemical maker Syngenta AG for US$43 billion, according to Bloomberg data.
The pandemic is not the only factor explaining the plunge in dealmaking activity. India, Australia and the EU have increased scrutiny on foreign investment in moves widely viewed as targeting Chinese buyers.
Tensions between the US and China have seen sanctions imposed on officials in China and Hong Kong over human rights issues, adding uncertainty for Chinese companies operating overseas.
China Mengniu Dairy Co (中國蒙牛乳業) on Tuesday scrapped its plans to buy Kirin Holdings Co’s Australian beverage unit after being told the deal would likely be blocked, amid increasingly strained relations between Canberra and Beijing.
“The great uncertainties in the relationship between China and the US have inevitably made Chinese investors more cautious with their cross-border deals,” said Eric Liu (劉堅中), Shanghai-based managing partner of Zhao Sheng Law Firm (昭勝律師事務所). “While we do not see any indication of Chinese investors stopping ‘going abroad,’ it is completely understandable that they need time to assess.”
They might be cautious, but they are not completely averse.
Earlier this month, China Three Gorges Corp (中國長江三峽集團) agreed to buy 13 Spanish solar park assets owned by X-Elio Energy SL, a renewable energy firm co-owned by Brookfield Renewable Partners LP and private equity firm KKR & Co.
The deal could become one of the few Chinese acquisitions in Europe this year.
Aagaard sees continued Chinese interest in future outbound deals, though focused more on deals that complement buyers’ core businesses.
“The desire to do selective and strategic acquisitions overseas is still there, especially in sectors such as power, infrastructure and utilities, technology and consumer,” Aagaard said.
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