US stocks pushed higher for the third week in a row on passable earnings, big merger announcements and rising confidence the US Federal Reserve would keep interest rates low.
Trade cooled somewhat compared with the torrid gains of the prior week, when the S&P 500 produced its biggest weekly gain this year. Nonetheless, this month’s rally remained alive and well after the first major week of third-quarter corporate earnings.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 131.48 points (0.77 percent) to 17,215.97.
The broad-based S&P 500 rose 18.22 (0.90 percent) to 2,033.11, while the tech-rich NASDAQ Composite Index advanced 56.22 (1.16 percent) to 4,886.69.
Some analysts see signs the rally is losing steam.
“The stock market is up, but you can sense that investors are becoming a little bit guarded or the market is starting to struggle,” Hugh Johnson of Hugh Johnson Advisors said.
“And I think that’s going to continue to be the case because we’re working through a very tough earnings season,” he added.
However, Marblehead Asset Management director Mace Blicksilver said the market’s performance after only mixed earnings suggests a “new bull market” could be emerging.
Investors took a sunny approach to earnings, bidding up banking shares even as Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase missed analyst profit forecasts and the sector in general reported lower revenues.
Results from JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo showed lending to small businesses and consumers picked up, in a positive sign for the economy. Yet bank executives offered a muted outlook, with Bank of America chief executive Brian Moynihan remarking on “a tough revenue environment due to low interest rates and a sluggish economic recovery.”
General Electric also got a lift despite reporting lower revenues as chief executive Jeff Immelt brushed aside concerns about an industrial recession and said its business in China was “still pretty good.”
However, streaming television giant Netflix slumped after reporting disappointing new US subscriber numbers and slightly lower profits than expected in the third quarter.
The week’s ugliest reaction came in response to a Wal-Mart Stores investor presentation that projected earnings in 2017 would fall by 6 to 12 percent due to heavy investments in higher employee wages and the build-out of e-commerce infrastructure.
Wal-Mart plunged 10 percent on Wednesday after the presentation and kept dropping after that.
The Wal-Mart outlook underscored worries that the retail behemoth is a “dinosaur fighting the new economy” as embodied by Amazon and other online vendors, Meeschaert Capital Markets president Gregori Volokhine said.
Other highlights this week included two mega mergers. The US$67 billion purchase of data-storage giant EMC by computer maker Dell was the largest technology deal ever.
That was followed by the US$122 billion takeover of British brewing company SABMiller by Anheuser-Busch InBev. The deal is expected to be closely scrutinized by antitrust authorities and to result in the sale of SAB’s stake in a MillerCoors joint venture to Molson Coors.
Analysts also said gains were propelled by rising confidence the Fed would hold off on any interest rate increases in the wake of lackluster US data, including a 0.1 percent drop in US retail sales last month.
Next week’s calendar includes data on US housing starts, as well as a heavy batch of earnings from a broad range of companies, including Boeing, Coca-Cola, General Motors, Google and Microsoft.
Analysts are also looking to fresh economic data out of China, including third-quarter growth figures.
ISSUES: Gogoro has been struggling with ballooning losses and was recently embroiled in alleged subsidy fraud, using Chinese-made components instead of locally made parts Gogoro Inc (睿能創意), the nation’s biggest electric scooter maker, yesterday said that its chairman and CEO Horace Luke (陸學森) has resigned amid chronic losses and probes into the company’s alleged involvement in subsidy fraud. The board of directors nominated Reuntex Group (潤泰集團) general counsel Tamon Tseng (曾夢達) as the company’s new chairman, Gogoro said in a statement. Ruentex is Gogoro’s biggest stakeholder. Gogoro Taiwan general manager Henry Chiang (姜家煒) is to serve as acting CEO during the interim period, the statement said. Luke’s departure came as a bombshell yesterday. As a company founder, he has played a key role in pushing for the
CROSS-STRAIT TENSIONS: The US company could switch orders from TSMC to alternative suppliers, but that would lower chip quality, CEO Jensen Huang said Nvidia Corp CEO Jensen Huang (黃仁勳), whose products have become the hottest commodity in the technology world, on Wednesday said that the scramble for a limited amount of supply has frustrated some customers and raised tensions. “The demand on it is so great, and everyone wants to be first and everyone wants to be most,” he told the audience at a Goldman Sachs Group Inc technology conference in San Francisco. “We probably have more emotional customers today. Deservedly so. It’s tense. We’re trying to do the best we can.” Huang’s company is experiencing strong demand for its latest generation of chips, called
China has claimed a breakthrough in developing homegrown chipmaking equipment, an important step in overcoming US sanctions designed to thwart Beijing’s semiconductor goals. State-linked organizations are advised to use a new laser-based immersion lithography machine with a resolution of 65 nanometers or better, the Chinese Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) said in an announcement this month. Although the note does not specify the supplier, the spec marks a significant step up from the previous most advanced indigenous equipment — developed by Shanghai Micro Electronics Equipment Group Co (SMEE, 上海微電子) — which stood at about 90 nanometers. MIIT’s claimed advances last
GLOBAL ECONOMY: Policymakers have a choice of a small 25 basis-point cut or a bold cut of 50 basis points, which would help the labor market, but might reignite inflation The US Federal Reserve is gearing up to announce its first interest rate cut in more than four years on Wednesday, with policymakers expected to debate how big a move to make less than two months before the US presidential election. Senior officials at the US central bank including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell have in recent weeks indicated that a rate cut is coming this month, as inflation eases toward the bank’s long-term target of two percent, and the labor market continues to cool. The Fed, which has a dual mandate from the US Congress to act independently to ensure