The natural gas market, still in its early years, is looking to secure a place in the global energy distribution scheme in the face of major technical challenges and high geopolitical stakes.
About seven tenths of the world's natural gas reserves are concentrated in two regions -- the Middle East and the Commonwealth of Independent States, the loose association of 12 of the one-time constituent republics of the former Soviet Union.
Russia alone has nearly 27 percent of total world reserves, Iran 15 percent and the Gulf state of Qatar 14 percent, a similar pattern of distribution to that of world oil reserves.
Gas reserves are vast, estimated to be able easily to meet demand at a growth rate of 2-3 percent a year for many decades to come, and likely to rise to 26-27 percent of primary energy demand by 2020.
Gas prices, indexed to those of oil, have continued on a rising spiral in recent years and experts say they will continue bullish for a while yet.
But the natural gas market, despite its environmental advantages, has so far reached nothing like the state of maturity of oil, having been relatively neglected for a long time.
Transportation proved a big obstacle, preventing gas being much beyond its immediate production area.
During the 1960s and 1970s, oil prospectors regularly had to block up dis-used gas wells, one specialist recalled.
Even today, gas pipelines and methane terminals are so costly to set up that gas remains something of a privilege for richer countries.
"It's often said there is not one world market for natural gas, but three regional markets, Europe, North America and Asia," said Francis Perrin, editor of a specialist magazine Le pitrole et le gaz arabes.
"It's less true today than a few years ago due mainly to a reduction in costs of liquefied natural gas [transported by boat]. But the potential to lower costs further has certainly not been exhausted," Perrin suggested.
Indeed, changes are happening. Europe, feeling the effects of the Russian-Ukrainian pricing row at the start of the year and recent supply difficulties experienced by Britain -- once a gas exporter -- is following developments keenly.
For Europe has now entered a phase of decline in natural gas production, with only Norway able to continue raising output, and has lately begun addressing the need for a new gas strategy.
Growing dependence is forcing the Europeans into massive investment required for new ports and pipelines, said Marie-Francoise Chabrelie, general-secretary of the French gas sector association Cedigaz.
Then there's the need to respond to an all-out challenge posed by the Russian natural gas major Gazprom, which is strengthening links with gas producer Algeria and planning to export liquefied natural gas to North America from northern Russia, not to speak of the two gas pipelines it plans to lay to China.
"The map showing the place of gas around the world has been reshaped," said Moncef Kaabi, an analyst with Ixis Corporate and Investment Bank.
NO-LIMITS PARTNERSHIP: ‘The bottom line’ is that if the US were to have a conflict with China or Russia it would likely open up a second front with the other, a US senator said Beijing and Moscow could cooperate in a conflict over Taiwan, the top US intelligence chief told the US Senate this week. “We see China and Russia, for the first time, exercising together in relation to Taiwan and recognizing that this is a place where China definitely wants Russia to be working with them, and we see no reason why they wouldn’t,” US Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines told a US Senate Committee on Armed Services hearing on Thursday. US Senator Mike Rounds asked Haines about such a potential scenario. He also asked US Defense Intelligence Agency Director Lieutenant General Jeffrey Kruse
China’s intrusive and territorial claims in the Indo-Pacific region are “illegal, coercive, aggressive and deceptive,” new US Indo-Pacific Commander Admiral Samuel Paparo said on Friday, adding that he would continue working with allies and partners to keep the area free and open. Paparo made the remarks at a change-of-command ceremony at Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam in Hawaii, where he took over the command from Admiral John Aquilino. “Our world faces a complex problem set in the troubling actions of the People’s Republic of China [PRC] and its rapid buildup of forces. We must be ready to answer the PRC’s increasingly intrusive and
INSPIRING: Taiwan has been a model in the Asia-Pacific region with its democratic transition, free and fair elections and open society, the vice president-elect said Taiwan can play a leadership role in the Asia-Pacific region, vice president-elect Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴) told a forum in Taipei yesterday, highlighting the nation’s resilience in the face of geopolitical challenges. “Not only can Taiwan help, but Taiwan can lead ... not only can Taiwan play a leadership role, but Taiwan’s leadership is important to the world,” Hsiao told the annual forum hosted by the Center for Asia-Pacific Resilience and Innovation think tank. Hsiao thanked Taiwan’s international friends for their long-term support, citing the example of US President Joe Biden last month signing into law a bill to provide aid to Taiwan,
UNWAVERING: Paraguay remains steadfast in its support of Taiwan, but is facing growing pressure at home and abroad to switch recognition to Beijing, Pena said Paraguayan President Santiago Pena has pledged to continue enhancing cooperation with Taiwan, as he and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida expressed opposition to any unilateral change to the “status quo” in the Taiwan Strait using force, Japanese media reported on Saturday. Kishida yesterday completed a trip to France, Brazil and Paraguay, his first visit to South America since taking office in 2021. After the Japanese leader and Pena spoke for more than an hour on Friday, exchanging views on the situation in East Asia in the face of China’s increasing military pressure on Taiwan, they affirmed that “unilateral attempts to change the