President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) would win in a three-way presidential race against independent Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) and Kaohsiung Mayor Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜) or Hon Hai Precision Industry Co founder Terry Gou (郭台銘), who are vying for the Chinese Nationalist Party’s (KMT) nomination, a survey released by the Taiwanese Public Opinion Foundation showed yesterday.
In a race between Tsai, Han and Ko, 36.9 percent of respondents said they would vote for Tsai, while 29.4 percent preferred Han and 27.5 percent chose Ko.
In such scenario, Ko would have an “absolute advantage” with voters under 40, but would be at a disadvantage when it comes to voters aged 55 or older, the survey said.
Photo: George Tsorng, Taipei Times
Han would be more popular among voters aged 45 to 60, and Tsai with those 60 or above, it said.
If the KMT were to nominate Gou, who on Friday resigned as company chairman, Tsai would still win next year’s presidential election with 35.5 percent of votes, compared with 28.1 percent for Ko and 26.1 percent for Gou, the poll showed.
Sixty-seven percent of Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) supporters would vote for Tsai, while 54 percent of KMT supporters would vote for Gou, it found.
In addition to having the support of 37 percent of independent voters, Ko would have the support of 32 percent of KMT supporters and 23 percent of DPP supporters, suggesting that if Gou were to represent the KMT, more KMT supporters would vote for Ko, it said.
The foundation also revealed how prospective candidates scored on the “feeling thermometer,” which measures politicians’ popularity.
Ko, Tsai, Gou and Han received average scores of 56.93, 55.16, 49.27 and 43.79 respectively, while former premier William Lai (賴清德), who lost to Tsai in the DPP’s presidential primary, received 58.27.
A score lower than 50 indicates a “cold” public attitude toward the politician, foundation chairman Michael You (游盈隆) said.
The foundation also surveyed the approval rating of the Tsai administration and found that nearly 48 percent of respondents approved of the way Tsai handles national affairs, while 44 percent disapproved.
The finding shows that Tsai’s approval rating, which had been low for a long time, has turned around, the survey said.
The poll also showed that 52 percent of respondents were satisfied with Premier Su Tseng-chang’s (蘇貞昌) performance, while 38 percent were dissatisfied.
Meanwhile, Gou is leading the KMT primary with 29 percent support, compared with former New Taipei City mayor Eric Chu’s (朱立倫) 26.7 percent, Han’s 26.4 percent, former Taipei County commissioner Chou Hsi-wei’s (周錫瑋) 2.3 percent and National Taiwan University political science professor Chang Ya-chung’s (張亞中) 0.5 percent, the survey found.
The poll, conducted on Monday and Tuesday last week, was commissioned by the foundation and conducted nationwide by Focus Survey Research.
It targeted adults over the age of 20 via landlines, collected 1,092 valid samples and had a margin of error of 2.97 percentage points.
Taiwanese actress Big S, also known as Barbie Hsu (徐熙媛), and Chinese restaurateur Wang Xiaofei (汪小菲) officially announced their divorce yesterday, stating the decision was cordial and that they would be raising their two children together. The statement came by proxy through the couple’s legal counsel, filed by both Wang and Hsu. Hsu and Wang thanked fans for their love and support, with the couple saying that fate had blessed them with a time of happiness, and that they were grateful for their time together. They said that while they walked hand-in-hand as husband and wife, they would continue a cordial relationship as
DESTABILIZING: Beijing’s efforts to choke Taiwan, pressure its friends and hamper its democracy are a threat to the world, AIT Director Sandra Oudkirk said China’s provocative military activities near Taiwan are destabilizing and risk “miscalculation,” American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) Director Sandra Oudkirk said yesterday, reiterating the US’ objection to any unilateral changes to the “status quo” in the Taiwan Strait. Oudkirk made the remarks in a speech at the annual conference of the Association of International Relations in Taipei. “In the Indo-Pacific region, America’s effort to resolve and manage differences with the leadership of the People’s Republic of [PRC] faces distinct challenges,” she said, referencing a range of actions by China that she said run counter to the shared values and interests of the
CCP IDEOLOGY: MAC Deputy Minister Chiu Chui-cheng said the CCP’s consolidation around one leader would shrink the space for economic and private endeavors Beijing plans to intensify its unification campaign, a Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) official said yesterday in an assessment of statements by Chinese leaders, while stressing the importance of consensus among Taiwanese. At a conference on Chinese development and security prospects in the Taiwan Strait, MAC Deputy Minister Chiu Chui-cheng (邱垂正) noted key developments in Chinese Communist Party (CCP) rhetoric. Much attention has been given to the sixth plenum of the CCP Central Committee, which on Nov. 11 issued the party’s third-ever “historical resolution,” paving the way for Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) to retain power through next year’s leadership reshuffle, Chiu said. According
MONITORED BY JETS: Chinese aircraft included Y-20 aerial refueling aircraft, suggesting that China refueled its short-range jets during flight The air force scrambled again yesterday to warn away 27 Chinese aircraft that entered its air defense identification zone (ADIZ), the Ministry of National Defense said, the latest increase in tensions across the sensitive Taiwan Strait. Taiwan has complained for a year or more of repeated missions by China’s air force near the nation, often in the southwestern part of its ADIZ, close to the Taiwan-controlled Pratas Islands (Dongsha Islands, 東沙群島). Over a four-day period beginning on Oct. 1, when China marked its national day, Taiwan said that nearly 150 Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) military aircraft entered its ADIZ, not territorial