More than a quarter of the voters who backed President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) in 2012 would vote for Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) next month, a survey taken after the presidential debate on Sunday showed.
Taiwan Thinktank yesterday released the results of the poll conducted on Sunday and Monday, which showed that 45.9 percent said Tsai did better than her two rivals in the debate, while 22.1 percent said that Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) presidential candidate Eric Chu (朱立倫) was the best among the three and 19.9 percent rooted for People First Party presidential candidate James Soong (宋楚瑜).
The survey showed that 31.7 percent said they would choose to support a candidate based on their performance in a debate, while 67.5 percent said they would not. The numbers indicate that while debates — with another one scheduled on Saturday — might not have a major effect on a candidate’s popularity, they could solidify voters’ preferences, the think tank said.
Photo: George Tsorng, Taipei Times
About 90 percent of voters aged 20 to 29 said their preference would not be affected by the debates, Taiwan Thinktank executive director Lai I-chung (賴怡忠) said.
“It is those over the age of 70 who are more likely to be influenced by candidates’ performance in a debate, according to the poll,” he said.
A total of 67.2 percent of respondents said they would definitely vote on Jan. 16.
Photo: Liu Hsin-de, Taipei Times
Asked which candidate they would support, 44.4 percent favored Tsai, 20.4 percent Chu and 14.2 percent Soong, while 21 percent were undecided, the poll showed.
The think tank also did a cross-analysis on how people voted in 2012 and how they would vote in the Jan. 16 presidential election. It showed that among voters who cast their ballots in favor of Ma and Vice President Wu Den-yih (吳敦義) in 2012, 25.9 percent would vote for Tsai this time and 18.8 percent for Soong.
As to potential changes in voting preferences by political party, a cross-analysis found that 17.6 percent of respondents who voted for a KMT candidate in 2012 would support a DPP one next month, the group said.
Another think tank, the Taiwan Brain Trust, also released its latest poll numbers yesterday, in which 51.1 percent of respondents backed Tsai, 17.1 percent supported Chu and 12.9 percent Soong.
Both surveys asked respondents their opinion over Chinese investment in Taiwan’s technology industry, in light of recent controversy over China-based Tsinghua Unigroup Ltd’s plans to invest in Taiwan’s IC design industry.
According to the Taiwan Brain Trust poll, 70.1 percent of respondents have misgivings about Chinese investment in Taiwan’s technology industry, while 80.9 percent support government oversight and control of the issue.
The Taiwan Thinktank poll found that 59.1 percent of respondents said they were concerned about Chinese corporations’ acquisition of shares of Taiwanese high-tech industries, citing national security concerns.
Moreover, 57.9 percent said they were concerned that Chinese investment in Taiwanese media outlets would affect freedom of speech, with those aged 20 to 29 especially worried about the issue, Taiwan Thinktank said.
Taiwan Brain Trust’s poll was based on a random sample of 1,069 adults aged above 20, with a margin of error of 3 percentage points. Taiwan Thinktank’s poll was based on 1,085 effective samples, with a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
FEELING MISUNDERSTOOD: Media speculation has fueled confusion about the KMT’s reasons for skipping a Chinese forum and delaying an AIT meeting, party sources said The Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) on Sunday said that it is not seeking to improve relations with the US or China at the expense of the other, and that its relations with the countries would be topic-based. The party has faced questions over its foreign policy after it on Monday last week announced its withdrawal from the annual Straits Forum and delayed planned talks with the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT). The party has also taken a tough stance on the importation of US meat containing ractopamine, while also lambasting China for increasing its military activity in and around the Taiwan Strait. Following
Taipei City Councilor Wang Hao (王浩) of the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) on Monday called for security improvements to the MRT, as fare evasion has increased more than 13-fold on the metropolitan railway system over the past five years. Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) has spoken out against fare evasion and other contraventions of MRT regulations, but since he took office in 2015 the number of contraventions has more than doubled, Wang said, adding that there were 537 cases in 2015 compared with 959 last year. A video was posted to YouTube in June showing people how to evade paying a fare,
AN EXAMPLE: After attending a memorial service for Lee Teng-hui, Mori said the former president’s career reflected the importance of peace and democracy Using military force to resolve conflict is no longer workable in this new era, which requires peaceful discussion, former Japanese prime minister Yoshiro Mori said yesterday before leaving Taipei. Mori made the remarks at a news conference in front of the EVA Sky Jet Center at Taipei International Airport (Songshan airport), after leading a delegation to attend the official memorial service for former president Lee Teng-hui (李登輝) in New Taipei City’s Tamsui District (淡水). This was Mori’s second trip to mourn Lee; his last was on Aug. 9. Although he walked with a crutch, Mori, 83, chose to stand right in front of
CONTROVERSY: NHIA Director-General Lee Po-chang said an outcry over overseas Taiwanese not paying premiums, but having coverage, is pushing rule amendments Rules changes are being considered that would force Taiwanese who permanently live abroad to pay National Health Insurance (NHI) premiums for the period they were overseas before they can re-enroll in the system, National Health Insurance Administration (NHIA) Director-General Lee Po-chang (李伯璋) yesterday said. The case of a married Taiwanese couple who lived in the US for about 30 years, but returned to Taiwan in April and tested positive for COVID-19 has again sparked public debate over why Taiwanese living abroad are allowed to use NHI resources, — although the couple’s expenses were not covered by the NHI. An often cited example