Opinion polls in this country are notorious for hidden agendas. But two recent polls on cross-strait relations, released back to back last week, were notable for the confusion they created.
The pro-blue magazine Business Weekly and the Mainland Affairs Council released the results of their latest polls on Thursday and Friday, respectively. Newspaper coverage included headlines that appeared contradictory: "73 percent oppose the `one China, two systems' principle," "Most Taiwanese believe independence would lead to war" and "70 percent feel China unfriendly toward Taiwan."
China's state-run Xinhua News Agency reported last Thursday that the Business Weekly poll "showed that 58 percent of local people regard themselves as Chinese. These people said that independence is the red line for the security of Taiwan and they oppose a cross-strait war."
In actuality, the magazine poll found that 58 percent of those who identified themselves as both Taiwanese and Chinese were opposed to cross-strait war.
The council's poll, however, did not mention the possibility of cross-strait military engagement, asking only for responses on whether China exhibits good will towards Taiwan. The poll found that 70.4 percent felt China was unfriendly toward the government.
The magazine poll found that, with regard to Washington-Beijing-Taipei relations, 16 percent of respondents said it was best to remain friendly with the US, while 10 percent felt it was wiser to further ties with Beijing. Fifty-two percent said both were equally important.
The council's survey found that 66.8 percent of respondents agreed that the government should continue to develop diplomatic relations even if such moves lead to cross-strait tension.
The council said that 29.7 percent of those polled felt that diplomatic relations with China were more important than ties with other nations.
Chang Shu-ti (張樹棣), director of the council's Department of Policy Planning said one of the main differences which high-lighted the difference in the two surveys was the methodology -- the council's poll asks the same questions time after time.
"We've been asking the same questions for over 10 years now, allowing us to observe if there are any changes in response to the same questions. A one-time survey might be worth referencing, but it is different from a long-term observation of cross-strait issues," Chang told the Taipei Times yesterday.
Chang said long-term polling on issues of independence and unification, as well as the maintenance of the status quo, has led the council's consultation committee to recommend new questions.
"Because it is clear from previous polls that opinions on the issue of independence and maintaining the status quo are pretty much set, there have been recommendations that the council's poll go more in-depth in learning about what maintaining the status quo' entails for different people," Chang said.
Both Business Weekly and the council commissioned National Chengchi University's Election Study Center to conduct the polls.
"Both parties came to us with an idea of what they wanted from the poll, and we helped them formulate questions ... We've been working with the Mainland Affairs Council for a long time now, but this is the first time we worked with Business Weekly," said one center representative who asked to remain anonymous.
The representative said the center had agreed to requests from both parties that it refrain from commenting on the survey results.
She also pointed out that some of the differences in the survey results could simply be attributed the amount of money invested in each survey.
The magazine's survey was based on the responses of 1,811 participants last month while the council poll surveyed 1,153 people earlier this month. Both polls were conducted over the phone with people over the age of 20.
LEVERAGE: China did not ‘need to fire a shot’ to deny Taiwan airspace over Africa when it owns ‘half the continent’s debt,’ a US official said, calling it economic warfare The EU has raised concerns about overflight rights following the delay of President William Lai’s (賴清德) planned state visit to the Kingdom of Eswatini after three African nations denied overflight clearance for his charter at the last minute. Taiwanese allies Paraguay and Saint Kitts and Nevis, as well as several US lawmakers and the Inter-Parliamentary Alliance on China (IPAC) condemned China for allegedly pressuring the countries. Lai was scheduled to fly directly to Taiwan’s only African ally from yesterday to Sunday to celebrate the 40th anniversary of King Mswati III’s accession and his 58th birthday, but Seychelles, Mauritius and Madagascar suddenly revoked
The final batch of 28 M1A2T Abrams tanks purchased from the US arrived at Taipei Port last night and were transported to the Armor Training Command in Hsinchu County’s Hukou Township (湖口), completing the military’s multi-year procurement of 108 of the tanks. Starting at 12:10am today, reporters observed more than a dozen civilian flatbed trailers departing from Taipei Port, each carrying an M1A2T tank covered with black waterproof tarps. Escorted by military vehicles, the convoy traveled via the West Coast Expressway to the Armor Training Command, with police implementing traffic control. The army operates about 1,000 tanks, including CM-11 Brave Tiger
China on Wednesday teased in a video an aircraft carrier that could be its fourth, and the first using nuclear power, while making an allusion to Taiwan and vowing to further build up its islands, as it looks to boost maritime power, secure resources and bolster territorial claims. The video, issued on the eve of the 77th founding anniversary of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army Navy, featured fictional officers with names that are homophones of three commissioned aircraft carriers, the Liaoning (遼寧), Shandong (山東) and Fujian (福建). Titled Into the Deep, it showed a 19-year-old named “Hejian” (何劍) joining the group, sparking
BIG YEAR: The company said it would also release its A12 chip the same year to keep a ‘reliable stream of new silicon technologies’ flowing to its customers Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) yesterday said its newest A13 chip is to enter volume production in 2029 as the chipmaker seeks to hold onto its tech leadership and demand for next-generation chips used in artificial intelligence (AI), high-performance-computing (HPC) and mobile applications. TSMC, the world’s biggest contract chipmaker, also unveiled its A12 chip at its annual technology symposium in Santa Clara, California. The A12 chip, which features TSMC’s super-power-rail technology to provide backside power delivery for AI and HPC applications, is also to enter volume production in 2029, a year after the scheduled release of the A14 chip. The technology moves
RSS