Today residents of Hong Kong will go to the polls to participate in what remains of its fragmented and suppressed democratic system. At best, democrats can achieve some form of stalemate, although in the final analysis Beijing calls the shots. That is the bottom line in Chinese politics. There are not"two systems" in the "one country, two systems" lie. It is merely window dressing.
Still, making the system work is important, because every single vote against Beijing is an embarrassment to the great dictators sitting in their communist aeries spinning their webs of deceit, oppression and tyranny. Unlike in Cuba, or Iraq under Saddam Hussein, Beijing cannot engineer a 99.9 percent vote for communist dictators under world scrutiny. The communists are damned if they do, and surely damned if they don't. Every vote in Hong Kong gives succor to the millions oppressed and silenced in Tibet, and brings hope to the 23 million Taiwanese, who wait with bated breath for the communist behemoth to falter.
It is true that in Hong Kong, Beijing can effect whatever policy it wants. Still, in Hong Kong the world is watching. In Tibet, Beijing has managed to cover up its policy of eugenics by sheer brutal force (not that the UN would do anything about it anyway). But in Hong Kong, the communists must dance to a democratic tune (even if it's a charade), and they simply don't know the steps.
For this reason, no matter how the election turns out, Beijing will look foolish. Communist dictatorship will look foolish. Brutal suppression of free speech and tyranny will look foolish. No matter how many radio and television hosts are threatened, how many democratic legislators are threatened, how many democrats are framed with phony charges or accused of "sedition," no matter how many old communist dirty tricks are unveiled and no matter how many phone calls threatening death or worse are made in the middle of the night by communist henchmen to squelch democracy, Beijing will look boorish, weak and foolish.
The election outcome will not alter the rule of law in Hong Kong. But even holding an election is a triumph if the residents of Hong Kong realize there is so much power in their participation, and so much hope if they send the right message to the world.
Beijing cannot stop that from getting out. Beijing cannot plug this hole in the wall that otherwise blocks contact with the outside world. It cannot neutralize the effect and it cannot hide the event. Beijing cannot arrest or kill everyone who mentions it, and cannot arrest all who vote against Beijing.
And so, in the ocean of despair created by a hopeless mid-term legislative election, a tiny ripple of hope could gain force, and one day turn into a mighty wave washing away the single most tyrannical regime in the history of the world -- a regime that has oppressed more people in 50 years than all of the previous dictatorships in the last 2,000 years combined.
A single vote for democracy in Hong Kong, like a feather buoyed by the winds of change, can help do that. How remarkable, to slay a rapacious beast with a feather.
Lee Long-hwa
United States
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) were born under the sign of Gemini. Geminis are known for their intelligence, creativity, adaptability and flexibility. It is unlikely, then, that the trade conflict between the US and China would escalate into a catastrophic collision. It is more probable that both sides would seek a way to de-escalate, paving the way for a Trump-Xi summit that allows the global economy some breathing room. Practically speaking, China and the US have vulnerabilities, and a prolonged trade war would be damaging for both. In the US, the electoral system means that public opinion