The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday said that it is drafting a comprehensive stress test to gauge domestic banks’ ability to withstand wide swings in variables affecting risk exposure.
Unlike previous tests evaluating banks’ resilience against specific risk exposures, the latest test is to encompass macroeconomic factors such as the nation’s economic growth rate, jobless rate, the value of the New Taiwan dollar and interest rates.
Domestic banks have passed a number of stress tests simulating inclement conditions in specific segments, and have met the commission’s requirements for financial ratios.
In 2010, banks demonstrated that they were able to weather slowing GDP growth, rising unemployment and a cooling housing market and had managed to contain impacts to their financial conditions at the range required by the commission.
Stress tests on banks’ exposure to domestic home loans and loans by their China-based lending operations were carried out in 2014 and last year respectively.
The nation’s banks passed both tests, showing that they were able to contain impacts to their capital adequacy and tier 1 ratios at a level deemed manageable by the commission.
A Tier 1 capital ratio measures a bank’s financial strength based on the sum of its core equity capital and total risk-weighted assets, while capital adequacy determines the financial strength of a company.
The commission is reviewing the outcome of a stress test on banks’ exposure to yuan-linked target redemption forward (TRF) contracts that was conducted last month.
While analysts are in agreement that the worst of the concerns about TRF contracts have passed, as a majority of the contracts expired as of the end of last month, they said unexpected swings in the yuan’s strength could still cause significant losses for banks.
The FSC’s TRF stress test simulating a weakened yuan of 6.8 per US dollar was deemed inadequate, as the yuan is expected to fall to 7.5 against the greenback by the end of this year, Daiwa Capital Markets analyst Christie Chien (簡民惠) said in a client note last week.
Since the Chinese central bank devalued the yuan in August last year, TRFs have caused widespread losses for investors, while banks are facing rising exposure to the instrument’s refundable deposit against potential defaults by their clients.
Banks have also lost highly profitable items in their product mix as sentiments toward the troubled derivative soured.
PROBE
In related news, the commission said that it has asked its Financial Examination Bureau to probe allegations by New Power Party Legislator Huang Kuo-chang (黃國昌) that a number of banks assisted their clients to produce false financial statements and set up offshore accounts in a bid to promote TRF sales.
SEMICONDUCTORS: The German laser and plasma generator company will expand its local services as its specialized offerings support Taiwan’s semiconductor industries Trumpf SE + Co KG, a global leader in supplying laser technology and plasma generators used in chip production, is expanding its investments in Taiwan in an effort to deeply integrate into the global semiconductor supply chain in the pursuit of growth. The company, headquartered in Ditzingen, Germany, has invested significantly in a newly inaugurated regional technical center for plasma generators in Taoyuan, its latest expansion in Taiwan after being engaged in various industries for more than 25 years. The center, the first of its kind Trumpf built outside Germany, aims to serve customers from Taiwan, Japan, Southeast Asia and South Korea,
Gasoline and diesel prices at domestic fuel stations are to fall NT$0.2 per liter this week, down for a second consecutive week, CPC Corp, Taiwan (台灣中油) and Formosa Petrochemical Corp (台塑石化) announced yesterday. Effective today, gasoline prices at CPC and Formosa stations are to drop to NT$26.4, NT$27.9 and NT$29.9 per liter for 92, 95 and 98-octane unleaded gasoline respectively, the companies said in separate statements. The price of premium diesel is to fall to NT$24.8 per liter at CPC stations and NT$24.6 at Formosa pumps, they said. The price adjustments came even as international crude oil prices rose last week, as traders
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電), which supplies advanced chips to Nvidia Corp and Apple Inc, yesterday reported NT$1.046 trillion (US$33.1 billion) in revenue for last quarter, driven by constantly strong demand for artificial intelligence (AI) chips, falling in the upper end of its forecast. Based on TSMC’s financial guidance, revenue would expand about 22 percent sequentially to the range from US$32.2 billion to US$33.4 billion during the final quarter of 2024, it told investors in October last year. Last year in total, revenue jumped 31.61 percent to NT$3.81 trillion, compared with NT$2.89 trillion generated in the year before, according to
PRECEDENTED TIMES: In news that surely does not shock, AI and tech exports drove a banner for exports last year as Taiwan’s economic growth experienced a flood tide Taiwan’s exports delivered a blockbuster finish to last year with last month’s shipments rising at the second-highest pace on record as demand for artificial intelligence (AI) hardware and advanced computing remained strong, the Ministry of Finance said yesterday. Exports surged 43.4 percent from a year earlier to US$62.48 billion last month, extending growth to 26 consecutive months. Imports climbed 14.9 percent to US$43.04 billion, the second-highest monthly level historically, resulting in a trade surplus of US$19.43 billion — more than double that of the year before. Department of Statistics Director-General Beatrice Tsai (蔡美娜) described the performance as “surprisingly outstanding,” forecasting export growth
RSS