A US$7 billion mining deal between Guinea’s repressive military regime and a little-known Chinese company underscores China’s full-throttle rush into Africa and its willingness to deal with brutal and corrupt governments.
The deal announced last week by the West African country’s military junta offers the company, China International Fund Ltd (中國國際基金公司), access to Guinea’s bauxite and other minerals and could provide major revenues to a government facing international isolation. Guinea’s soldiers opened fire on demonstrators late last month, killing up to 157, and raped women in public.
Human rights groups decried the pact. China’s government has declined to confirm it or answer related questions, and the company also refused to comment.
In many ways, the Guinea deal reflects established Chinese business practices in Africa, characterized by huge investments in a still-poor continent, but also secrecy and often scant regard for labor and human rights.
China’s defenders point out that other investors from the West, Japan, India and elsewhere are also major economic partners with less-than-democratic African governments. In Guinea, Alcoa of the US and Anglo-Australian Rio Tinto PLC are already major players in the bauxite business. Also, China has given aid, loans or investment to more than 17 African countries, some of which do have democratic governments.
China’s practices, however, have raised questions about whether the huge sums will hamper the progress of human rights and good governance in Africa, even as they raise the standards of living and line the pockets of some. China has given large chunks of money to corrupt and abusive regimes such as those in oil-rich Nigeria and Sudan, much criticized over abuses in the Darfur region. For example, China has a controversial US$9 billion agreement with violence-plagued Congo.
“There’s obviously mixed emotions with regard to China-Africa relations,” said Kellie Jane Whitlock, of the South African magazine Corporate Africa.
Unlike companies from the recession-struck West, there are “Chinese companies that are still growing and looking into investing further into Africa,” Whitlock said.
The Chinese are “quite inclined to look after their investment and build their investment. They are serious about investing in Africa,” he said.
Scrutiny and mixed emotions are rising in Africa as the volume of China’s dealings soar. Trade has soared 10 times since 2001, passing the US$100 billion mark last year. Estimates of Chinese investment in Africa range upward from US$6 billion as China tries to lock up oil, gas and other key resources for its resource-hungry economy.
Estimates for total loans, investment and aid donations — often difficult to distinguish from each other — run closer to US$50 billion.
Hong Kong-registered China International Fund (CIF) has done big deals with another undemocratic African government: Angola. The company is building housing, highways and the capital’s airport in Angola, which is one of China’s leading suppliers of oil.
CIF is a private company, though its ultimate ownership is unclear.
In embarking on these deals, however, it can count on high-level access to leading Angolan officials and a web of contacts to China’s state-backed industries and companies, especially the Export-Import Bank of China, which funds many of the country’s major overseas investments. CIF’s directors are also believed to have ties to China’s military and security forces, boosting their relationships with the country’s communist leadership.
In the case of China International Fund and Guinea, it isn’t known whether the company was working on the deal before December’s coup that brought Captain Moussa “Dadis” Camara to power. The British think-tank Chatham House recently reported that CIF had been working on a US$1.6 billion investment plan for the country spanning infrastructure, housing, mining, transport, tourism, and food production.
In exchange, the company would theoretically gain access to Guinea’s plentiful deposits of bauxite, the raw material used to make aluminum, along with diamonds and gold.
Mines Minister Mahmoud Thiam said the Chinese company “will be a strategic partner in all mining projects.”
Thiam also said that new power-generating plants, railway links and planes for both international and local air transportation are part of the deal.
Founded in 2003, CIF appears to be among the boldest — and best connected — of the Chinese investors in Africa. The company’s Hong Kong business registration lists it as 99 percent owned by Dayuan International Development Ltd (大遠國際發展公司), identified by Chatham House analysts as the parent company of China Angola Oil Stock Holding Ltd (安中石油控股公司), which exports Angolan oil to China.
The remaining 1 percent is owned by CIF’s chairwoman, Lo Fong Hung (羅方紅), who is also one of Dayuan’s four directors and whose husband, Chatham House says, has been a director of the Chinese government’s two biggest investment arms.
CIF has become a broker for huge infrastructure projects in Angola, tapping financing from China’s Exim Bank and secured by the African nation’s oil revenues. Among the company’s projects: 215,500 housing units totaling more than 31 million square meters; the restoration of 1,600km of highway and 2,680km of railway; and the construction of the capital’s new airport.
Many of those remain in the planning stages, however, and some have run aground. Chinese media reports say other Chinese subcontractors have complained that CIF was failing to pay for work and materials supplied for some other African construction projects.
“Some projects have been slow to get off the ground and there are bottlenecks,” Chatham House’s Weimer said. “They are not delivering on their time lines.”
Despite CIF’s deep connections to the government, Africa expert Stephen Morrisson said the company likely hatched the deal on its own, without excessive Chinese government involvement.
“Often these decisions are taken quite independently and often there is little internal policy coordination or deliberation,” said Morrisson, of the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.
He also questioned reports characterizing the deal as a “lifeline” to the Guinean regime, saying the leadership likely lacked the wherewithal to fully see it through.
“Overall, I don’t think this will rescue the current miserable crowd attempting to rule Guinea,” Morrisson said.
ELECTRONICS BOOST: A predicted surge in exports would likely be driven by ICT products, exports of which have soared 84.7 percent from a year earlier, DBS said DBS Bank Ltd (星展銀行) yesterday raised its GDP growth forecast for Taiwan this year to 4 percent from 3 percent, citing robust demand for artificial intelligence (AI)-related exports and accelerated shipment activity, which are expected to offset potential headwinds from US tariffs. “Our GDP growth forecast for 2025 is revised up to 4 percent from 3 percent to reflect front-loaded exports and strong AI demand,” Singapore-based DBS senior economist Ma Tieying (馬鐵英) said in an online briefing. Taiwan’s second-quarter performance beat expectations, with GDP growth likely surpassing 5 percent, driven by a 34.1 percent year-on-year increase in exports, Ma said, citing government
‘REMARKABLE SHOWING’: The economy likely grew 5 percent in the first half of the year, although it would likely taper off significantly, TIER economist Gordon Sun said The Taiwan Institute of Economic Research (TIER) yesterday raised Taiwan’s GDP growth forecast for this year to 3.02 percent, citing robust export-driven expansion in the first half that is likely to give way to a notable slowdown later in the year as the front-loading of global shipments fades. The revised projection marks an upward adjustment of 0.11 percentage points from April’s estimate, driven by a surge in exports and corporate inventory buildup ahead of possible US tariff hikes, TIER economist Gordon Sun (孫明德) told a news conference in Taipei. Taiwan’s economy likely grew more than 5 percent in the first six months
SMART MANUFACTURING: The company aims to have its production close to the market end, but attracting investment is still a challenge, the firm’s president said Delta Electronics Inc (台達電) yesterday said its long-term global production plan would stay unchanged amid geopolitical and tariff policy uncertainties, citing its diversified global deployment. With operations in Taiwan, Thailand, China, India, Europe and the US, Delta follows a “produce at the market end” strategy and bases its production on customer demand, with major site plans unchanged, Delta president Simon Chang (張訓海) said on the sidelines of a company event yesterday. Thailand would remain Delta’s second headquarters, as stated in its first-quarter earnings conference, with its plant there adopting a full smart manufacturing system, Chang said. Thailand is the firm’s second-largest overseas
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co’s (TSMC, 台積電) market value closed above US$1 trillion for the first time in Taipei last week, with a raised sales forecast driven by robust artificial intelligence (AI) demand. TSMC saw its Taiwanese shares climb to a record high on Friday, a near 50 percent rise from an April low. That has made it the first Asian stock worth more than US$1 trillion, since PetroChina Co (中國石油天然氣) briefly reached the milestone in 2007. As investors turned calm after their aggressive buying on Friday, amid optimism over the chipmaker’s business outlook, TSMC lost 0.43 percent to close at NT$1,150