Bucking the global trend, the nation’s stock market and currency both posted modest gains yesterday on reports of a rush of orders for consumer electronic products and an expected inflow of Chinese tourists, analysts said.
The TAIEX closed up 16.43 points, or 0.3 percent, at 4,653 on turnover of NT$84.64 billion (US$2.43 billion), Taiwan Stock Exchange data showed.
The rally defied the fall on Wall Street and other Asian markets, chiefly because of a rush of export orders from China that have prompted some high-tech firms to terminate employees unpaid leave.
Alan Tseng (曾炎裕), an analyst at Capital Securities Corp (群益證券), said domestic and foreign fund managers increased their stakes in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電), HTC Corp (宏達電), MediaTek Inc (聯發科) and other manufacturers following reports of a rush of orders from across the Taiwan Strait.
“The TSMC share price alone advanced 8 percent this week,” Tseng said by telephone. “The optimistic sentiment was genuine, though no one knows how long it will last. It is interesting, the TAIEX appeared unaffected by the performance of its counterpart in the US and neighboring nations.”
The weighted index has climbed 92 points, or 2.1 percent, this week, while the electronic and machinery sub-index has risen 5 percent, Tseng said.
Liang Kuo-yuan (梁國源), president of Polaris Research Institute (寶華綜合經濟研究院), said orders had increased following the Lunar New Year holidays and had helped lift production capacity at high-tech firms from 30 percent to 50 percent.
But Liang said it was too early to gauge the impact as the orders may dry up at any time.
Both Tseng and Liang said reports of an upcoming massive influx of Chinese tourists also contributed to the euphoria on the markets.
“True or not, they lured investors to the bourse and they have been buying shares, as can be seen in the increased trade volume this week,” Tseng said.
There was a net investment of NT$3.5 billion in foreign capital into local shares yesterday.
Likewise, the New Taiwan dollar rebounded 0.047 percent, or NT$0.17, to NT$34.78 against its US counterpart, after weakening to below the NT$35 level on Monday, foreign exchange data showed.
Total transactions amounted to US$1.919 billion on Taipei Forex Inc and the smaller Cosmos Foreign Exchange.
A dealer from a local bank said institutional players had hesitated to challenge the NT$35.3 barrier for fear of losses because the central bank has ample foreign exchange reserves.
“Let’s wait and see how long the rebound can hold,” he said by telephone.
ELECTRONICS BOOST: A predicted surge in exports would likely be driven by ICT products, exports of which have soared 84.7 percent from a year earlier, DBS said DBS Bank Ltd (星展銀行) yesterday raised its GDP growth forecast for Taiwan this year to 4 percent from 3 percent, citing robust demand for artificial intelligence (AI)-related exports and accelerated shipment activity, which are expected to offset potential headwinds from US tariffs. “Our GDP growth forecast for 2025 is revised up to 4 percent from 3 percent to reflect front-loaded exports and strong AI demand,” Singapore-based DBS senior economist Ma Tieying (馬鐵英) said in an online briefing. Taiwan’s second-quarter performance beat expectations, with GDP growth likely surpassing 5 percent, driven by a 34.1 percent year-on-year increase in exports, Ma said, citing government
‘REMARKABLE SHOWING’: The economy likely grew 5 percent in the first half of the year, although it would likely taper off significantly, TIER economist Gordon Sun said The Taiwan Institute of Economic Research (TIER) yesterday raised Taiwan’s GDP growth forecast for this year to 3.02 percent, citing robust export-driven expansion in the first half that is likely to give way to a notable slowdown later in the year as the front-loading of global shipments fades. The revised projection marks an upward adjustment of 0.11 percentage points from April’s estimate, driven by a surge in exports and corporate inventory buildup ahead of possible US tariff hikes, TIER economist Gordon Sun (孫明德) told a news conference in Taipei. Taiwan’s economy likely grew more than 5 percent in the first six months
SMART MANUFACTURING: The company aims to have its production close to the market end, but attracting investment is still a challenge, the firm’s president said Delta Electronics Inc (台達電) yesterday said its long-term global production plan would stay unchanged amid geopolitical and tariff policy uncertainties, citing its diversified global deployment. With operations in Taiwan, Thailand, China, India, Europe and the US, Delta follows a “produce at the market end” strategy and bases its production on customer demand, with major site plans unchanged, Delta president Simon Chang (張訓海) said on the sidelines of a company event yesterday. Thailand would remain Delta’s second headquarters, as stated in its first-quarter earnings conference, with its plant there adopting a full smart manufacturing system, Chang said. Thailand is the firm’s second-largest overseas
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co’s (TSMC, 台積電) market value closed above US$1 trillion for the first time in Taipei last week, with a raised sales forecast driven by robust artificial intelligence (AI) demand. TSMC saw its Taiwanese shares climb to a record high on Friday, a near 50 percent rise from an April low. That has made it the first Asian stock worth more than US$1 trillion, since PetroChina Co (中國石油天然氣) briefly reached the milestone in 2007. As investors turned calm after their aggressive buying on Friday, amid optimism over the chipmaker’s business outlook, TSMC lost 0.43 percent to close at NT$1,150