Despite a rocky month last month, some on Wall Street are holding out hopes for a positive year if the market gets its traditional seasonal rebound or "Santa Claus" rally.
The past week was mixed for the major indexes.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost ground for a sixth straight week, giving back 0.74 percent over the five sessions to end Friday at 10,215.22.
The Standard and Poor's 500 index dropped 0.61 percent for the week to 1,179.59. The broad-market index is down more than 5 percent from its peak last month.
The technology-heavy NASDAQ index however rose 0.85 percent to 2,082.21.
Despite a strong midweek rally, the markets remained tense amid concerns about inflation, the good prospect of higher interest rates and the possibility that rate hikes by the Federal Reserve may choke off growth as well as inflation.
The latest data showed US wholesale prices surged 1.9 percent last month after consumer inflation hit a steeper-than-expected 1.2 percent rise. While some economists say "core" inflation excluding food and energy remains tame, others worry that higher energy costs will spill over into the rest of the economy.
"The upward tilt in both the consumer and business inflation attitudes comes at a potentially dangerous point in the cycle," Citigroup economist Robert DiClemente said.
"It is a low-probability event but should rising expectations spill over into wage-price setting behavior, it would be more difficult for the Fed to contain inflation without forcing economic growth below its potential for a sustained period," he said.
Al Kugel, chief investment strategist at Atlantic Trust/Stein Roe, said that the Federal Reserve's hawkish comments on inflation have spooked investors.
"But we haven't had any bad inflation news especially if you take out energy," Kugel said, adding that the market is "really frightened that the [Fed] is putting more weight on the inflation threat than seems warranted."
The broad market remains down about 2.6 percent for the year, but some remain optimistic about a positive finish for this year.
Bob Dickey at RBC Dain Rauscher said the market is going through a "general correction" that may take more time to play out.
"We believe that the current pullback will find a bottom within the next three weeks and will present us with one of the best overall buying opportunities of the year," Dickey said.
"We cannot say that we are there yet, but we are getting closer to a bottom that will likely lead to a meaningful year-end rally," he said.
David Briggs at Federated Investments said the season patterns favor a rebound.
"Sloppy Octobers notwithstanding, the last quarter overall also has been the best for equity investors," he said.
"That's because the Halloween equity dip often proves to be the relative low for the quarter, setting up a Santa Claus rally as the old year winds down," he said.
Despite jitters about the auto industry, real estate and other factors, Briggs said the market is ripe for a rally.
Bonds firmed over the past week. The yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond fell to 4.43 percent from 4.49 percent a week earlier.
The Eurovision Song Contest has seen a surge in punter interest at the bookmakers, becoming a major betting event, experts said ahead of last night’s giant glamfest in Basel. “Eurovision has quietly become one of the biggest betting events of the year,” said Tomi Huttunen, senior manager of the Online Computer Finland (OCS) betting and casino platform. Betting sites have long been used to gauge which way voters might be leaning ahead of the world’s biggest televised live music event. However, bookmakers highlight a huge increase in engagement in recent years — and this year in particular. “We’ve already passed 2023’s total activity and
Nvidia Corp CEO Jensen Huang (黃仁勳) today announced that his company has selected "Beitou Shilin" in Taipei for its new Taiwan office, called Nvidia Constellation, putting an end to months of speculation. Industry sources have said that the tech giant has been eyeing the Beitou Shilin Science Park as the site of its new overseas headquarters, and speculated that the new headquarters would be built on two plots of land designated as "T17" and "T18," which span 3.89 hectares in the park. "I think it's time for us to reveal one of the largest products we've ever built," Huang said near the
China yesterday announced anti-dumping duties as high as 74.9 percent on imports of polyoxymethylene (POM) copolymers, a type of engineering plastic, from Taiwan, the US, the EU and Japan. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce’s findings conclude a probe launched in May last year, shortly after the US sharply increased tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles, computer chips and other imports. POM copolymers can partially replace metals such as copper and zinc, and have various applications, including in auto parts, electronics and medical equipment, the Chinese ministry has said. In January, it said initial investigations had determined that dumping was taking place, and implemented preliminary
CUSTOMERS’ BURDEN: TSMC already has operations in the US and is a foundry, so any tariff increase would mostly affect US customers, not the company, the minister said Taiwanese manufacturers are “not afraid” of US tariffs, but are concerned about being affected more heavily than regional economic competitors Japan and South Korea, Minister of Economic Affairs J.W. Kuo (郭智輝) said. “Taiwan has many advantages that other countries do not have, the most notable of which is its semiconductor ecosystem,” Kuo said. The US “must rely on Taiwan” to boost its microchip manufacturing capacities, Kuo said in an interview ahead of his one-year anniversary in office tomorrow. Taiwan has submitted a position paper under Section 232 of the US Trade Expansion Act to explain the “complementary relationship” between Taiwan and the US