Japan’s government released a mixed bag of economic indicators yesterday that did little to inspire confidence in the country’s fragile recovery.
The unemployment rate last month improved for the first time since January, but families made less money. Deflation persisted as consumer prices fell for the 17th straight month.
The latest numbers underscore growing uncertainty for Japan’s export-driven economy as it faces a surging yen and slowing global growth. In the April-June quarter, Japan lost its place to China as the world’s No. 2 economy after posting annualized growth of just 0.4 percent.
PHOTO: BLOOMBERG
Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan will probably unveil a new stimulus package soon, and growing political pressure is expected to prompt the central bank to ease monetary policy next month.
The nation’s seasonally adjusted unemployment rate improved to 5.2 percent from 5.3 percent in June, according to the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. The result marked the first decline since January.
The number of jobless fell 7.8 percent from a year earlier to 3.31 million, while the number of those with employment stayed flat at 62.71 million.
Meanwhile, the country’s core consumer price index (CPI), which excludes fresh food, fell 1.1 percent from a year earlier. Lower prices may boost individual purchasing power, but deflation is generally bad for an economy. It plagued Japan during its “Lost Decade” in the 1990s, hampering growth by depressing company profits, sparking wage cuts and causing consumers to postpone purchases. It also can increase debt burdens.
The government’s new high school tuition breaks weighed heavily on the CPI, dragging education costs down 13 percent. A strong yen also pushed down prices of imported goods.
Retailers in heated competition for customers have been dropping prices to take advantage of the yen, which hit a fresh 15-year high against the dollar earlier this week. Major supermarket chains Ito-Yokado, Daiei and Aeon launched sales this month on imported products such as US pork and Australian beef.
The preliminary core CPI for Tokyo — considered a barometer of broader price trends — fell 1.1 percent in August, pointing toward another nationwide drop this month.
Kyohei Morita, chief economist at Barclays Capital Japan, does not expect the CPI to return to positive territory until mid-2012.
In a separate report, the ministry said average monthly household spending rose a real 1.1 percent last month. Monthly household income fell 1 percent to ¥562,094 (US$6,645).
Also See: Japan finds it has few options left in war against deflation
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