Fresh interest rate cuts may be needed to shore up US economic growth amid a protracted housing slump and financial market turmoil, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Thursday.
The central bank chief said the outlook for economic growth this year had "worsened" because of the housing meltdown, rising oil prices and weakened stock markets.
"In light of recent changes in the outlook for and the risks to growth, additional policy easing may be necessary," Bernanke said during a speech in Washington.
"We stand ready to take substantive additional action as needed to support growth and to provide adequate insurance against downside risks," Bernanke said, adding that the Fed would remain "exceptionally alert and flexible."
Economists said Bernanke's remarks suggested the central bank will slash interest rates by more than expected at a two-day policy meeting scheduled for Jan. 29 and Jan. 30.
Societe Generale economist Stephen Gallagher said Bernanke had raised "the odds for the larger 50-basis-point move," and that the Fed chairman's language indicated the central bank may not wait until the end of the month to cut rates.
Most Fed-watchers expect the central bank to lower its key federal funds rate, currently at 4.25 percent, at its first meeting of the year.
The Fed has trimmed borrowing costs by a full percentage point since September as concerns about the mortgage and credit markets have spiked.
Wall Street appeared cheered by Bernanke's stance, as the Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied almost one percent to a close of 12,853.09. The Dow has plummeted from a record high of 14,164.53 points in early October.
"Financial markets had already raised the odds of a 50 basis point cut in the target federal funds rate to near 75 percent, and Bernanke's speech did not dissuade the markets from the view that this is the most likely outcome," said Brian Bethune, an economist with Global Insight.
Economists at Goldman Sachs warned in a briefing note on Wednesday that the world's biggest economy appears to be "falling into a recession."
Bernanke said the Fed is not forecasting a recession at present, but does foresee slower growth.
He said the housing downturn had shaken the financial markets which he described as "fragile" and made big banks more cautious about lending, and that such strains would continue to pose economic risks.
Bernanke also said the housing market's woes and "the subprime crisis," home loans granted to Americans with poor credit, had heavily dented the earnings of some major banks, but stressed the "banking system remains sound."
He argued that the Fed's new system of credit auctions, which have helped boost liquidity in the financial market, had eased a widespread credit crunch.
The latest survey on the job market revealed slower employment growth and this could affect consumer spending, especially if companies cut back on hiring.
Consumer spending is a critical economic motor accounting for some two-thirds of GDP.
Bernanke said recent economic news suggested "the downside risks to growth have become more pronounced."
"The demand for housing seems to have weakened further, in part reflecting the ongoing problems in mortgage markets. In addition, a number of factors, including higher oil prices, lower equity prices and softening home values, seem likely to weigh on consumer spending as we move into 2008," Bernanke said.
Taiwanese actress Barbie Hsu (徐熙媛) has died of pneumonia at the age of 48 while on a trip to Japan, where she contracted influenza during the Lunar New Year holiday, her sister confirmed today through an agent. "Our whole family came to Japan for a trip, and my dearest and most kindhearted sister Barbie Hsu died of influenza-induced pneumonia and unfortunately left us," Hsu's sister and talk show hostess Dee Hsu (徐熙娣) said. "I was grateful to be her sister in this life and that we got to care for and spend time with each other. I will always be grateful to
REMINDER: Of the 6.78 million doses of flu vaccine Taiwan purchased for this flu season, about 200,000 are still available, an official said, following Big S’ death As news broke of the death of Taiwanese actress and singer Barbie Hsu (徐熙媛), also known as Big S (大S), from severe flu complications, the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) and doctors yesterday urged people at high risk to get vaccinated and be alert to signs of severe illness. Hsu’s family yesterday confirmed that the actress died on a family holiday in Japan due to pneumonia during the Lunar New Year holiday. CDC Deputy Director-General Tseng Shu-hui (曾淑慧) told an impromptu news conference that hospital visits for flu-like illnesses from Jan. 19 to Jan. 25 reached 162,352 — the highest
COMBINING FORCES: The 66th Marine Brigade would support the 202nd Military Police Command in its defense of Taipei against ‘decapitation strikes,’ a source said The Marine Corps has deployed more than 100 soldiers and officers of the 66th Marine Brigade to Taipei International Airport (Songshan airport) as part of an effort to bolster defenses around the capital, a source with knowledge of the matter said yesterday. Two weeks ago, a military source said that the Ministry of National Defense ordered the Marine Corps to increase soldier deployments in the Taipei area. The 66th Marine Brigade has been tasked with protecting key areas in Taipei, with the 202nd Military Police Command also continuing to defend the capital. That came after a 2017 decision by the ministry to station
PETITIONS: A Democratic Progressive Party official quoted President William Lai as saying that civil society groups are organizing the recall drives at the grassroots level Some civil society groups yesterday announced that they have collected enough signatures to pass the first-stage threshold to initiate a recall vote against Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) legislators in 18 constituencies nationwide, saying that they would submit the signatures to the Central Election Commission (CEC) today. They also said that they expected to pass the threshold in eight more constituencies in the coming days, meaning the number of KMT legislators facing a recall vote could reach 26. The groups set up stations to collect signatures at local marketplaces and busy commercial districts. The legislators their petition drives target include Fu