Improving semiconductor prices yesterday bolstered a rosier economic outlook for South Korea, sending stock prices jumping 4.5 percent to a 16-month high on the first trading day of the new year.
The market gathered upward momentum after news that Hynix Semiconductor Inc raised its January contract prices for memory chips sold to major PC makers by an average 30 percent.
Another South Korean semiconductor giant, Samsung Electronics Co, said it would follow Hynix's lead and seek higher dynamic random access memory (DRAM) contract prices in negotiations with major clients this weekend.
Hynix rose by its maximum daily limit to close up 14.9 percent or 360 won at 2,780 won. Samsung Electronics rose 29,000 won or 10.4 percent to 308,000 won. Other chip-related stocks were also higher, with Anam Semiconductor jumping by its daily limit to close up 15 percent or 850 won at 6,520 won.
"The recovery in DRAM prices is faster than expected and the hikes in semiconductor prices are much greater than the increases in demand for memory chips," said Kim Young-june of Kyobo Securities Co.
The prospect of the world's semiconductor industry consolidating through mergers and acquisitions to ease the global supply glut added to the upswing, he said.
"But I am afraid that the market is now overshooting," he said, noting that the price hikes in semiconductors and their stock prices have yet to be backed by increases in demand for semiconductors among PC makers.
An analyst with Regent Securities said institutional investors were buying aggressively to procure shares amid widespread expectations for an early economic recovery.
"Most institutional investors and foreigners say we will have a good year for the economy and the market as well," he said.
South Korea's November industrial output rose 4.9 percent from a year earlier, reversing a 1.3-percent drop in October and indicating the economic slump may have bottomed out.
In its economic policy report to President Kim Dae-jung last week, the finance and economy ministry forecast economic growth at over four percent this year, up from 2.8 percent projected in 2001.
Many analysts said the index would test 760 points in the first quarter. The index jumped 31.25 points yesterday to close at 724.95.
Hynix said it had raised by 30 percent the price of 128MB DRAM chips provided to IBM, Hewlett-Packard, Compaq and other computer makers.
Samsung and Hynix previously raised prices by 10-20 percent on two occasions last year.
The spot market price of a 128MB DRAM chip stood between US$2.50 and US$2.80, compared with less than US$1 in early November.
At current prices, Hynix is able to cover most of its production costs, although it is still losing money, analysts said.
In the case of Samsung Electronics, a 50 cent rise in 128MB DRAM prices would bring additional income of US$25 million to the company each month.
"Should Samsung Electronics succeed in raising prices that much, it would be able to shift back to the black in DRAM in the January-March period this year, one or two quarters earlier than expected," Kim Yong-june said.
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