The UK’s Labour Party has won its biggest-ever by-election victory by overturning a 20,000-vote Conservative majority in Selby and Ainsty, with the Liberal Democrats also unseating the Conservatives in the previously safe seat of Somerton and Frome.
However, in the one glimmer of hope for the Conservatives, they held on to the Uxbridge and South Ruislip seat formerly held by former British prime minister Boris Johnson, fending off a predicted Labour win by just 495 votes.
While British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, on a visit to Uxbridge yesterday, said the results showed a Labour victory in the general election was not “a done deal,” pollsters said the overall swing away from the Conservatives was a clear message from voters.
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Selby’s new MP is 25-year-old Keir Mather, a former researcher for shadow health secretary Wes Streeting, who won by 4,161 votes, a massive 23.7 percentage point swing from the Conservatives.
Nigel Adams, a Johnson ally who resigned as a Conservative MP last month, formerly held the seat with a 20,000-plus majority.
Mather, 25, is to become the “baby of the house” as the youngest MP in the Commons.
In his victory speech, he said that “thousands of votes were in Labour’s box for the first time,” adding: “In this campaign we have rewritten the rules on where Labour can win.”
The Liberal Democrats romped to victory in Somerton and Frome, in a contest triggered by the resignation of scandal-hit David Warburton. Sarah Dyke, the Cabinet member for the environment on South Somerset district council, won with a majority of 11,008 over the Conservatives.
The Green Party came a distant third in all three by-elections.
Conservative Party Chairman Greg Hands told BBC Radio 4’s Today program that the results did not necessarily spell doom for his party, given the long history of incumbent governments being punished in by-elections, pointing to the narrow win in Uxbridge.
“We’re obviously going to listen to people, we’re going to look at some of the reasons why,” he said. “But equally, by-elections are not always a good predictor of general elections.”
However, polling expert Sir John Curtice, speaking on the same program, said Hands was being unrealistic, and that the results showed the Conservatives were “in as deep an electoral hole as polling suggests.”
Labour’s delight was notably tempered by its failure to take Uxbridge, with some in the party blaming the decision of London Mayor Sadiq Khan to extend the ultra-low emission zone anti-pollution scheme to outer areas of the city, including Uxbridge, the key Conservative campaign in the area.
Labour deputy leader Angela Rayner hinted that the party thought Khan should rethink the policy.
“I think one of the things we have to reflect on today is not only the mood against the Tories, but also the decision in Uxbridge was related to Ulez,” she told BBC Breakfast.
“The Uxbridge result shows that when you don’t listen to the voters, you don’t win elections,” she added.
Liberal Democrat leader Ed Davey said the party’s win in Somerton and Frome showed it was “firmly back in the West Country.”
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