The sluggish cement industry has received a jump-start from higher demand for construction material following the Sept. 21 earthquake, but Taiwan Cement (
According to Wang Lin-tai (
James Chu (
The launch of some large public construction projects next year will also boost demand. The demand for cement in Taiwan totaled 20.7 million metric tons in 1998.
Though demand will increase, supply is going to be lowered as cement companies' storage of limestone dwindles. Because limestone mining rights in western Taiwan expired at the end of 1997, cement companies must rely on their own stores of limestone and have started to look for sources overseas.
Most companies will run out of limestone deposits by the end of next year -- except for Taiwan Cement and Asia Cement (
The 100-hectare industrial park was planned by the government with an eye toward moving Taiwan's cement industry to the eastern coast after limestone mining rights on the west coast expired. But Taiwan Cement is the only cement company establishing a factory in the park.
"With demand going up and most companies running out of their limestone deposits, Taiwan Cement will be the largest winner when their plant in Hoping starts operating," Chu said.
Taiwan Cement's major competitor will be Asia Cement, but that company's capacity utilization rate is already over 100 percent, making it impossible for it to increase production.
"Should the demand increase, we may build a fourth kiln in our Hualien plant and reduce cement exports," said Fay Lin (
However, industry insiders pointed out that it maybe difficult for the company to build another kiln because environmental concerns; the plant is located in a national park.
Taiwan Cement's new plant in the Hoping Cement industrial park will have three kilns, each with an annual production capacity of 2.7 million metric tons. The construction of the first kiln will be completed in June, next year, and the second kiln in November.
After soaring over 30 percent on the TAIEX since the earthquake, the highest rise among all the sectors, the cement sub-index cooled down on Tuesday and yesterday.
"Cement-related share prices still have potential for rise as the fundamentals for cement companies are good," Chu said. He estimated demand for cement to be 23.1 million metric tons, while supply is expected to come in at just 18.6 million metric tons next year.
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