Sat, Sep 02, 2023 page3

• Poll shows 48.9% support independence

  ‘MAINSTREAM MOVEMENT’: Respondents who were in favor of independence made up the largest group in each city and country except for Taoyuan, the survey revealed

  • By Chung Li-hua and Jonathan Chin / Staff reporter, with staff writer
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  A poll released by the Taiwanese Public Opinion Foundation yesterday showed 48.9 percent of Taiwanese support obtaining formal national independence, while 26.9 percent support maintaining the “status quo” and 11.8 percent support unification with China.

  Support for Taiwanese independence topped support for maintaining the “status quo” by 22 percentage points and Chinese annexation by 37 percentage points, foundation chairman Michael You (游盈隆) said.

  An overwhelming majority of respondents aged 20 to 44 voiced hope that Taiwan can declare independence in the future, he added.

  

  Taiwanese flags are pictured during Double Ten National Day celebrations in Taipei on Oct. 10 last year.

  Photo: Cheng I-hwa, Bloomberg

  The result indicates most Taiwanese want the country to become independent, but understand the political constraints and the need for strategic patience, You said.

  The number of respondents who wish Taiwan would become independent increased by 4.9 percentage points and those who showed support for maintaining the “status quo” increased by 2.9 percentage since last year’s survey, he said.

  These changes indicate a “clear mainstream movement toward achieving national independence in the future,” he added.

  A question in the survey asked respondents to choose between Taiwanese independence or unification with China should the “status quo” become unsustainable.

  In response, 41 percent of those who initially supported the “status quo” said they would support independence, 18.3 percent switched to support unification with China and 40.7 percent said they would support the “status quo” regardless, You said.

  Judging from the responses to that question, 59.9 percent of Taiwanese are pro-independence, 16.7 percent are pro-unification and 10.9 percent support extending the “status quo” indefinitely, he said.

  Taiwanese independence is supported by a majority of respondents in every age group, all groups divided by educational attainment except associate degree holders and all professional groups including military service members, civil servants and teachers, he said.

  Independence supporters make up the largest segment of respondents in every county and city except for Taoyuan, where support for the “status quo” prevailed, You said.

  The poll showed that 72 percent of respondents identifying themselves as Democratic Progressive Party supporters are in favor of independence, 1 percent support the “status quo” and 5 percent support unification with China, he said.

  Meanwhile, 18 percent of respondents identifying themselves as Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) supporters are in favor of independence, while 36 percent support the “status quo” and 35 percent support unification, You said.

  The poll found 43 percent of self-identified Taiwan People’s Party supporters also support independence, while 40 percent support the “status quo” and 8.5 percent support unification with China, he said.

  The foundation conducted the survey on Aug. 14 and Aug. 15 with Taiwanese aged 20 or older via both cellphone and landlines. The survey had 1,081 effective samples, and claimed a margin of error of 2.98 percentage points.
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