Taiwan should keep a close eye on the possible repercussions to it from the deteriorating US-China relationship, former American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) chairman Richard Bush said on Friday in an article posted on the Brookings Institution’s Web site.
Now the director of the think tank’s Center for Northeast Asian Policy Studies, Bush said that while US Vice President Mike Pence’s recent rhetoric on China was harsh, “Taiwan might become a victim of ‘friendly fire’ in a US-China trade war,” due to its close economic ties with China.
In an Oct. 4 speech to the conservative Hudson Institute, Pence condemned Beijing for threatening cross-strait stability and accused it of resorting to economic aggression to extend its global reach.
Some observers in Taiwan and elsewhere in Asia might conclude from Pence’s speech that US-China relations would become zero-sum, Bush wrote in “What Taiwan can take from Mike Pence’s speech on China.”
“China would have a lot to lose from all-out competition with America, but US allies and partners in the region also might be at risk from both the current trade war and from wider Washington-Beijing rivalry,” Bush wrote. “Taiwan’s situation is particularly complex.”
Since the early 1990s, Taiwanese firms have been exporting goods to China, and as a result, Taiwan has become a critical link in supply and value chains that run from the US, he wrote.
“But for purposes of US customs, the finished products are treated as Chinese goods, so a US decision to increase tariffs on those goods would hurt the Taiwan companies and perhaps wipe out the narrow profit margins on which they operate,” he wrote.
The US last month announced a 10 percent tariff against US$250 billion worth of China goods, which would increase to 25 percent by the end of this year, after a 25 percent tariff was imposed on US$60 billion worth of Chinese merchandise earlier this year.
Some in Taiwan are likely to believe that deteriorating US-China relations would provide it with a chance to seek benefits that Washington was previously unwilling to grant, Bush wrote.
However, the nuclear threats posed by Iran and North Korea are still top issues, he wrote.
“If previous [US] administrations chose not to extend those benefits because it badly needed Beijing’s cooperation on issues like North Korea, Iran and climate change, the reduction or disappearance of cooperation would obviate the need for American restraint on Taiwan,” Bush wrote.
Taiwan from Thursday is to reinstate visa exemptions for passport holders from 65 countries. Mandatory quarantine for arriving travelers is to be lifted on Oct. 13 , when restrictions on inbound and outbound tour groups are also to be lifted. The following is a list of answers to common questions regarding how the new regulations are to affect inbound international visitors Which passports will have visa-free entry privileges? Eleven more countries on Thursday are to join 54 countries that were given visa-free privileges on Sept. 12. Passport holders from Japan, South Korea, Chile, Israel and Nicaragua can stay in Taiwan for up to 90 days without a visa. Taiwan is also to resume 30-day visa-free stays for citizens of the Dominican Republic, Singapore and Malaysia. Passport holders from Thailand, Brunei and the Philippines are to be allowed to stay in Taiwan for 14 days visa-free. Taiwan on Sept. 12 resumed 90-day visa-free entry for passport holders from the US, the UK, Ireland, Canada, Australia, New
PRIDE AND FURY: Supporters of the Taiwan People’s Communist Party sang in Tainan, while Taiwan loyalists in Kaohsiung vowed to ‘protect Taiwan until death’ Two small Taiwanese groups at the far ends of the debate over relations with Beijing marked the National Day of the People’s Republic of China yesterday with flag raisings and flag burnings — opposite responses at a time of rising tension over the Taiwan Strait. Oct. 1 marks the day that Mao Zedong (毛澤東) proclaimed the People’s Republic of China in 1949, with the defeated Republic of China government fleeing to Taiwan at the end of that year, where — after democratic reforms — it remains to this day, neither recognizing the other. China’s national day is not officially marked in any
Adolescents aged 12 to 17 can start receiving the Novavax COVID-19 vaccine from tomorrow, the Central Epidemic Command Center (CECC) said yesterday, adding that the second phase of inoculations using Moderna’s bivalent vaccine would begin next week. The Ministry of Health and Welfare’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices has recommended that the Novavax vaccine can be administered to adolescents aged 12 to 17 as their primary series of vaccines or as a booster shot. It also allowed a mix-and-match approach. The Novavax vaccine is a good choice for eligible recipients who are worried about possible adverse reactions from other COVID-19 vaccines, said
‘CONSENSUS’: The CECC would brief the Cabinet on its reopening plans if data show that a local outbreak proceeded as it had predicted, Premier Su Tseng-chang said The Central Epidemic Command Center (CECC) could announce today that it would fully reopen borders on Oct. 13, Premier Su Tseng-chang (蘇貞昌) said yesterday. Su in the morning inspected Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport to check if airport personnel were prepared to cope with an expected rise in passenger volume today, when the weekly cap for international arrivals would increase to 60,000 people. The requirement for a saliva-based polymerase chain reaction test upon landing is also to be waived. The CECC last week announced that a zero-quarantine policy for international arrivals could be implemented from Oct. 13, depending on the local