Chances are now higher that Tropical Storm Koppu could affect Taiwan and the angle at which it turns north from the Philippines is likely to determine what impact the storm will have, the Central Weather Bureau said yesterday.
Bureau data showed that there are two tropical storms in the West Pacific Ocean, including Koppu and tropical storm Champi.
While the bureau forecasts that Champi is headed for Japan, it predicts Koppu could move toward the Philippines before turning north.
At 5pm yesterday, the center of Koppu was 1,260km southeast of Oluanbi (鵝鑾鼻). It was moving west at 14kph, with wind gusts near the storm’s center reaching speeds of up to 119kph.
Bureau Director Cheng Ming-dean (鄭明典) said that Koppu is approaching relatively warmer seas with a weak vertical sheer wind.
The bureau forecasts that the storm could continue to strengthen because of advantageous conditions and could become a typhoon today, he said.
The bureau would be able to make a better determination as to whether the storm will make landfall in Taiwan from the angle at which it turns north, he added.
Cheng said that the bureau would closely monitor the storm’s northbound movement between Sunday and Tuesday, adding that one degree difference in the angle at which Koppu turns could mean a difference in hundreds of kilometers.
Cheng said that the bureau predicted Koppu would not make landfall in the Philippines.
Former Weather Forecast Center director Daniel Wu (吳德榮) said that Koppu might strengthen into a typhoon before it approaches Luzon Island, but it is unlikely to gain more strength because its structure would be damaged by topography in the Philippines.
He said that the storm could turn into a weaker typhoon after passing through the Philippines.
He said that a report from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts on Wednesday predicted that Koppu would be guided by high air pressure to move west toward Luzon.
The report also showed that the storm would slow down and remain stagnant for a little while before moving north.
Wu said that the center had produced 51 projected paths of movement after Koppu turns north.
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