The People's Liberation Army (PLA) is making rapid strides in expanding its military capabilities to complement China's rising international status, with the additional benefit of acting as a deterrent to US forces coming to Taiwan's assistance during a cross-strait conflict, a US military specialist said yesterday during a teleconference from Tokyo.
The conference, entitled "The Rise of China's Military Power," was attended by several military analysts and hosted by the American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) in Taipei.
PUBLIC PRESSURE
Roy Kamphausen, vice president for political and security affairs at the National Bureau of Asian Research, said that the PLA's accelerating modernization in recent years did not indicate that Beijing was seeking to compete with the US military, but was in response to the need to have a military befitting the country's international status.
There is a general consensus that China is not a peer competitor of the US military, a situation that will remain for the foreseeable future, he said.
DELAYING US FORCES
He agreed that the PLA appears to have adopted a strategy of delaying the arrival of US forces in the Western Pacific, especially in a Taiwan conflict scenario.
Furthermore, he said, PLA equipment -- including quieter attack submarines and ballistic missiles with maneuverable warheads -- seemed to be aimed at denying US forces a presence in continental Asia for an extended period of time.
One of the panelists, Captain Chang Ching (張競), an instructor at the Naval Strategy Section of National Defense University's War College, said the PLA would be able to shake Taiwanese public confidence in the nation's defense capabilities if the PLA managed to humiliate the US in its effort to safeguard Taiwan.
Kamphausen said that a catastrophic defeat of US carrier forces in the Pacific was an unlikely scenario and that China must realize that the US would not simply back down after the first strike.
Kamphausen also said that if conflict were to break out, the PLA would most likely strike Taiwan, while simultaneously denying the US access to the region.
However, Beijing would need to seriously assess the repercussions of taking such action, Kamphausen said, adding that it would drastically alter the international situation.
TAIWAN'S ARMED FORCES
In addition, the panelists agreed that Taiwan's armed forces would inflict sizeable losses on any invading PLA force, even without US participation.
Taiwan's armed forces are increasingly capable in responding to PLA threats, Kamphausen said, adding that US observers had noted that the Taiwanese military had become increasingly sophisticated and made dramatic progress in the past seven or eight years.
As the minister of national defense had said, absent US participation, Taiwan would inevitably lose to the PLA, but it would inflict tremendous losses, he said.
It was unlikely China would launch a full-scale invasion to try to seize Taiwan because the losses would be catastrophic -- even without US participation, Kamphausen said, adding that the PLA training was focusing on fighting high-intensity wars of short duration.
This applied most specifically to Taiwan and maybe only to Taiwan, he said, while adding that this did not mean that war was inevitable.
But it demonstrates how seriously the Chinese leadership takes the Taiwan issue, he said.
Police have detained a Taoyuan couple suspected of over the past two months colluding with human trafficking rings and employment scammers in Southeast Asia to send nearly 100 Taiwanese jobseekers to Cambodia. At a media briefing in Taipei yesterday, the Criminal Investigation Bureau presented items seized from the couple, including alleged victims’ passports, forged COVID-19 vaccination records, mobile phones, bank documents, checks and cash. The man, surnamed Tsai (蔡), and his girlfriend, surnamed Tsan (詹), were taken into custody last month, after police at Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport stopped four jobseekers from boarding a flight to Phnom Penh, said Dustin Lee (李泱輯),
BILINGUAL PLAN: The 17 educators were recruited under a program that seeks to empower Taiwanese, the envoy to the Philippines said The Taipei Economic and Cultural Office in the Philippines on Thursday hosted a send-off event for the first group of English-language teachers from the country who were recruited for a Ministry of Education-initiated program to advance bilingual education in Taiwan. The 14 teachers and three teaching assistants are part of the Taiwan Foreign English Teacher Program, which aims to help find English-language instructors for Taiwan’s public elementary and junior-high schools, the office said. Seventy-seven teachers and 11 teaching assistants from the Philippines have been hired to teach in Taiwan in the coming school year, office data showed. Among the first group is 57-year-old
TRICKED INTO MOVING: Local governments in China do not offer any help, and Taiwanese there must compete with Chinese in an unfamiliar setting, a researcher said Beijing’s incentives for Taiwanese businesspeople to invest in China are only intended to lure them across the Taiwan Strait, after which they receive no real support, an expert said on Sunday. Over the past few years, Beijing has been offering a number of incentives that “benefit Taiwanese in name, while benefiting China in reality,” a cross-strait affairs expert said on condition of anonymity. Strategies such as the “31 incentives” are intended to lure Taiwanese talent, capital and technology to help address China’s economic issues while also furthering its “united front” efforts, they said. Local governments in China do not offer much practical
‘ORDINARY PEOPLE’: A man watching Taiwanese military drills said that there would be nothing anyone could do if the situation escalates in the Taiwan Strait Many people in Taiwan look upon China’s military exercises over the past week with calm resignation, doubting that war is imminent and if anything, feeling pride in their nation’s determination to defend itself. After a visit to Taiwan last week by US House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi, China has sent ships and aircraft across an unofficial buffer between Taiwan and China’s coast and missiles over Taipei and into waters surrounding the nation since Thursday last week. However, Rosa Chang, proudly watching her son take part in Taiwanese military exercises that included dozens of howitzers firing shells into the Taiwan Strait off
RSS