Taiwan friends have been worried about the domestic economy for quite some time. They look envious to the performance of other countries including The Netherlands.
I am always somewhat embarrassed by this. How easy do people tend to forget that twenty years ago The Netherlands economically were in bad shape: double digit unemployment, double digit inflation, high government deficit, low profitability in the private sector?
It took us ten years to sort this out. So we were just in time when an unprecedented economic boom of eight years was in front of us. (Timing is a very important element in this kind of issues)
What caused the turnaround? Allow me to tell a small story instead of giving a lot of macro-economic data. In those days when in The Netherlands factories were closed on a weekly basis, every time that happened workers, politicians and the media gathered in front of the factory gate.
And the journalists always asked the same question to the politicians: "what is the government doing to do about this?"
Then one day a politician said: "Nothing, because it is not our problem. It is the problem of the company.
If they have mismanaged their commercial risk they should face the consequences." Of course this statement came as quite a shock.
But the politicians persevered. The laid off workers were given additional training to prepare them for other, maybe more promising jobs.
The entrepreneurs were saved from moral hazard. And The Netherlands slowly and painfully started back on the road to recovery.
I leave it to our Taiwan friends to decide what lessons to draw from this story.
However my final admonition is: never forget the lessons from the past.
FIVE-YEAR WINDOW? A defense institute CEO said a timeline for a potential Chinese invasion was based on expected ‘tough measures’ when Xi Jinping seeks a new term Most Taiwanese are willing to defend the nation against a Chinese attack, but the majority believe Beijing is unlikely to invade within the next five years, a poll showed yesterday. The poll carried out last month was commissioned by the Institute for National Defense and Security Research, a Taipei-based think tank, and released ahead of Double Ten National Day today, when President William Lai (賴清德) is to deliver a speech. China maintains a near-daily military presence around Taiwan and has held three rounds of war games in the past two years. CIA Director William Burns last year said that Chinese President Xi Jinping
President William Lai (賴清德) yesterday said that China has “no right to represent Taiwan,” but stressed that the nation was willing to work with Beijing on issues of mutual interest. “The Republic of China has already put down roots in Taiwan, Penghu, Kinmen and Matsu,” Lai said in his first Double Ten National Day address outside the Presidential Office Building in Taipei. “And the Republic of China and the People’s Republic of China [PRC] are not subordinate to each other.” “The People’s Republic of China has no right to represent Taiwan,” he said at the event marking the 113th National Day of
REACTION TO LAI: A former US official said William Lai took a step toward stability with his National Day speech and the question was how Beijing would respond US Secretary of State Antony Blinken yesterday warned China against taking any “provocative” action on Taiwan after Beijing’s reaction to President William Lai’s (賴清德) speech on Double Ten National Day on Thursday. Blinken, speaking in Laos after an ASEAN East Asia Summit, called the speech by Lai, in which he vowed to “resist annexation,” a “regular exercise.” “China should not use it in any fashion as a pretext for provocative actions,” Blinken told reporters. “On the contrary, we want to reinforce — and many other countries want to reinforce — the imperative of preserving the status quo, and neither party taking any
SPEECH IMPEDIMENT? The state department said that using routine celebrations or public remarks as a pretext for provocation would undermine peace and stability Beijing’s expected use of President William Lai’s (賴清德) Double Ten National Day speech today as a pretext for provocative measures would undermine peace and stability, the US Department of State said on Tuesday. Taiwanese officials have said that China is likely to launch military drills near Taiwan in response to Lai’s speech as a pretext to pressure the nation to accept its sovereignty claims. A state department spokesperson said it could not speculate on what China would or would not do. “However, it is worth emphasizing that using routine annual celebrations or public remarks as a pretext or excuse for provocative or coercive