The NSW Waratahs are praying for a change of luck, while the Canterbury Crusaders cannot believe their good fortune heading into tomorrow’s Super 15 final.
It has been 10 years since the Waratahs last beat Super Rugby’s glamor side and in their attempt to arrest that long run of losses, they have opted not to play at their favorite home ground.
The decision to shift the final from the Allianz Stadium, where the Waratahs are unbeaten this year, to the bigger ANZ Stadium has been seized on by the Crusaders as a gift.
Photo: AFP
“There is no way I would ever give up home advantage to anyone,” Crusaders coach Todd Blackadder said. “I don’t think it will make a difference to them... but for us it is just the psychological aspect. Going to a neutral stadium is just fantastic.”
Waratahs coach Michael Cheika has sidestepped talk about venues and an unfavorable history against the Crusaders, saying it was a matter of how his charges perform tomorrow that counted.
“History has tended to lead to the conclusion that we won’t deliver on the day,” he said. “What we’ve got to do is go out there and up our game, improve from last week in certain areas and see if that’s good enough.”
Both sides have named unchanged line ups for the showdown which, through a quirk of the draw, will be the first time they have faced each other this year, heightening references to historical data for a pointer to the outcome.
While the Crusaders have seven Super titles in their cabinet, and have made the playoffs every year since 2002, the Waratahs have only reached the finals twice — in 2005 and 2008 — and on both occasions faced the Crusaders and lost.
In the 2008 final, the last time the Crusaders won the Super crown, the Waratahs led 12-3 after 25 minutes before conceding 17 unanswered points to go down 20-12.
However, this is not the Waratahs of old, as they showed with a lion-hearted defense in their 26-8 win over the ACT Brumbies in the semi-final last week, where they refused to bow under pressure and counterattacked at every opportunity.
It is a side filled with battle-hardened internationals, with the skilful Michael Hooper, Stephen Hoiles and Wycliff Palu as a potent loose trio.
Halves Nick Phipps and Bernard Foley are to guide a talented backline containing Kurtley Beale, Adam Ashley-Cooper and Israel Folau.
However, in the history of Super Rugby, the final has always been won by the side who command the scrums and lineouts, and here the Crusaders appear to have a defining edge.
The set-piece work of their tight five — Wyatt Crockett, Corey Flynn, Owen Franks, Sam Whitelock and Dominic Bird — has been second to none this season.
They are complemented in the loose by Matt Todd, Richie McCaw and Kieran Read to complete an all-All Blacks pack.
McCaw, who missed much of the year through injuries, is to be at blindside flanker, allowing Todd to retain the No. 7 jersey.
Ace flyhalf Dan Carter is also to be out of position at inside center, with Colin Slade in the No. 10 he has worn all year.
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