When Danladi Verheijen has to attend an important meeting, he doesn’t know whether getting there will take 10 minutes or three hours.
“You’re going to upset someone,” he said. “You’re going to arrive very early or very late. It leads to massive loss of productivity.”
Verheijen works in Lagos, one of the world’s fastest growing mega cities — and one of the most congested. The simplest journey here can be a trial of will. Such is the snail’s pace of morning traffic that hawkers patrol the lines selling socks and phone chargers, McVitie’s digestive biscuits and shaving kits.
However, Verheijen believes he can do something to break the deadlock. The 34-year-old venture capitalist is leading a group of investors in Lagos’s first city railway. He believes the multibillion-dollar project could transform daily life for millions of people in this uniquely challenging metropolis and potentially expand west from Nigeria to Ghana.
“I think it will dramatically change the face of Lagos,” he said. “One of the lines is in an area people come to in the middle of Lagos island to work. To get to work at 8am, they probably have to leave their house right now about 5:30am or 5:45am. When our trains start working, they can probably leave their home at 7:25am. It’s a difference of two hours. If you’re saving between two and four hours a day, it’s a dramatic effect.”
“It’s cheaper than the alternative, it’s faster, it’s safer, it’s more reliable, it’s more environmentally friendly. So it’s very exciting,” he said.
Many railways laid during Africa’s colonial era have decayed due to neglect, leaving Cecil Rhodes’s Cape-to-Cairo fantasy more remote than ever. In large parts of Nigeria, overgrown tracks and abandoned stations testify to the triumph of cars and planes.
However, Lagos is badly in need of mass public transport beyond its recently introduced bus rapid transit system. Nigeria’s commercial capital, built on a swamp and a series of islands, will overtake Cairo as Africa’s biggest city in the next five years with a population of 12.4 million, according to the UN.
Urban expansion is one of the biggest challenges facing Africa as people migrate from rural areas in search of a better life. With its cities set to triple in size over the next 40 years, overcrowded slums, choked roads and pollution are already big problems.
It is hoped that a rail renaissance can be part of the solution. Last year, South Africa launched the 24 billion rand (US$3.4 billion) Gautrain, linking Johannesburg to its international airport at speeds of up to 160kph, with further expansion to include the -administrative capital, Pretoria.
Lagos’s EkoRail — Eko means Lagos in the Yoruba language — is the biggest public-private partnership in Lagos state and will eventually comprise seven railway lines, each costing more than US$1 billion. Two lines are already well advanced. The red will run north to south from Lagos island to Agbado through 13 stations. The blue will run 27km from the island to Okokomaiko in the middle of an expanded motorway.
It is hoped the lines will carry 1.4 million passengers per day. They will be powered by electricity rather than diesel but, with the national grid notoriously unreliable, EkoRail is building its own 30 megawatt to 40 megawatt power station, with excess power benefiting the motorway and local communities. The trains could begin test runs late next year.
Reflecting a growing trend in Africa, the project’s infrastructure is being built by a Chinese contractor.
“They’re much more -competitive and aggressive about doing business. They’re working Saturdays, they’re working Sundays, they’re working at nights. They come here and have big housing estates for their staff and just seem to work like armies. It’s very focused and things go up very quickly,” Verheijen said.
Asked who was benefiting from the construction jobs, he said: “A lot of Chinese, some Nigerians as well. I’m not averse to that. We need infrastructure. We need toll roads, we need airports, we need rail, we need water transportation systems, we need power. That just allows entrepreneurs to take off from there.”
Verheijen said the first goal was to silence the skeptics and show that rail transport was a viable option, but then, encouraged by wider signs of recovery in the national railway sector, he has ambitions to go further in Nigeria and beyond.
“The blue line goes to Badagry [west of Lagos]. It just makes sense to take that on to Togo and to Ghana. It will create trade and move people and also goods across west Africa. It probably sounds ludicrous, it might not even work, but we need to think about expanding in these ways,” he said. “I understand it costs more money to take a container from Lagos to Abuja [the Nigerian capital] than it does to ship one from China to Lagos. Unbelievable. Rail, hopefully, will change a lot of that.”
Verheijen hopes that one day Lagosians will find the railway as indispensable as Londoners.
“I think as businesses get more competitive, people care a lot more about their time. Ten years ago we didn’t have mobile phones and every time you had a message, you literally had to send somebody. We’ve become a lot more efficient now with the proliferation of mobile phones and can’t even imagine ourselves living in that era. I’m sure rail transportation will be the same here. Ten years from now, we will not be able to imagine how we were able to slug through traffic every day,” he said.
Some veterans of Lagos’s go-slow traffic arteries have welcomed the new scheme. Tolu Ogunlesi, a journalist and author, would leave home at 5:45am to reach his office at 8am.
“It’s not unusual to find Lagosians waking at 4am so they can be sure of getting to the office at eight,” he said. “It’s a crazy life. I’d definitely use the Lagos rail. I think it’s pure insanity for anyone to assume that Lagos’s traffic problems can be solved without a means of moving large numbers of people between the mainland and the island with minimum delay outside of the existing road system. And what would that be if not a rail system?”
“So far the government has tried buses and bus lanes, but clearly something more imaginative, and drastic, is required. Imagine what London would be without the tube [subway network] — and Lagos has more people than London,” he said.
As strategic tensions escalate across the vast Indo-Pacific region, Taiwan has emerged as more than a potential flashpoint. It is the fulcrum upon which the credibility of the evolving American-led strategy of integrated deterrence now rests. How the US and regional powers like Japan respond to Taiwan’s defense, and how credible the deterrent against Chinese aggression proves to be, will profoundly shape the Indo-Pacific security architecture for years to come. A successful defense of Taiwan through strengthened deterrence in the Indo-Pacific would enhance the credibility of the US-led alliance system and underpin America’s global preeminence, while a failure of integrated deterrence would
The Executive Yuan recently revised a page of its Web site on ethnic groups in Taiwan, replacing the term “Han” (漢族) with “the rest of the population.” The page, which was updated on March 24, describes the composition of Taiwan’s registered households as indigenous (2.5 percent), foreign origin (1.2 percent) and the rest of the population (96.2 percent). The change was picked up by a social media user and amplified by local media, sparking heated discussion over the weekend. The pan-blue and pro-China camp called it a politically motivated desinicization attempt to obscure the Han Chinese ethnicity of most Taiwanese.
On Wednesday last week, the Rossiyskaya Gazeta published an article by Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) asserting the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) territorial claim over Taiwan effective 1945, predicated upon instruments such as the 1943 Cairo Declaration and the 1945 Potsdam Proclamation. The article further contended that this de jure and de facto status was subsequently reaffirmed by UN General Assembly Resolution 2758 of 1971. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs promptly issued a statement categorically repudiating these assertions. In addition to the reasons put forward by the ministry, I believe that China’s assertions are open to questions in international
The Legislative Yuan passed an amendment on Friday last week to add four national holidays and make Workers’ Day a national holiday for all sectors — a move referred to as “four plus one.” The Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), who used their combined legislative majority to push the bill through its third reading, claim the holidays were chosen based on their inherent significance and social relevance. However, in passing the amendment, they have stuck to the traditional mindset of taking a holiday just for the sake of it, failing to make good use of