It has now been two years since China passed its "Anti-Secession" Law. It is worth taking a look back to investigate whether cross-strait relations during that time have moved in the direction of positive development, or if China and Taiwan are gradually drifting further apart.
In a recent survey, Taiwan Thinktank found that 73.9 percent of Taiwanese believe that China's enactment of the law constitutes a hostile intent toward Taiwan's government and people. In addition, 80 percent believe the law does not serve the interests of Taiwanese.
In addition to being designed to satisfy China's internal pressures and needs, the law was intended to give China the upper hand in cross-strait relations. Beijing officials hoped the law would divide the Taiwanese population, strengthen the legitimacy of military action, make its policies toward Taiwan appear more palatable and weaken Taiwan's position.
However, judging by the results of the survey, China not only failed to achieve those goals but even engendered the opposite by hardening cross-strait opposition.
The survey shows that 80 percent of Taiwanese do not accept the view that Taiwan must necessarily unify with China, as the law stipulates. In addition, 67 percent do not approve of China's strategy of only having contacts with the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) while snubbing the nation's elected government.
Beijing's attempt to use legalese to divide Taiwanese has had the opposite effect of consolidating opposition to Beijing's views. And in terms of lending legitimacy to the use of force against Taiwan, 90 percent of respondents do not agree with the law's advocacy of "non-peaceful means" to resolve the cross-strait issue.
The survey shows that almost 79 percent of Taiwanese believe their country's future should be decided by the Taiwanese themselves, whereas only 15 percent advocate a decision in conjunction with the Chinese.
Eighty-two percent, meanwhile, believe that China has no right to interfere in Taiwan's internal affairs. Furthermore, an increasing number of Taiwanese -- almost 77 percent -- approve joining the UN under the name Taiwan.
This survey proves that Beijing's policy of winning the hearts and minds is failing.
Lo Chih-cheng is the director of the political science department at Soochow University.
Translated by Marc Langer
In the event of a war with China, Taiwan has some surprisingly tough defenses that could make it as difficult to tackle as a porcupine: A shoreline dotted with swamps, rocks and concrete barriers; conscription for all adult men; highways and airports that are built to double as hardened combat facilities. This porcupine has a soft underbelly, though, and the war in Iran is exposing it: energy. About 39,000 ships dock at Taiwan’s ports each year, more than the 30,000 that transit the Strait of Hormuz. About one-fifth of their inbound tonnage is coal, oil, refined fuels and liquefied natural gas (LNG),
To counter the CCP’s escalating threats, Taiwan must build a national consensus and demonstrate the capability and the will to fight. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) often leans on a seductive mantra to soften its threats, such as “Chinese do not kill Chinese.” The slogan is designed to frame territorial conquest (annexation) as a domestic family matter. A look at the historical ledger reveals a different truth. For the CCP, being labeled “family” has never been a guarantee of safety; it has been the primary prerequisite for state-sanctioned slaughter. From the forced starvation of 150,000 civilians at the Siege of Changchun
The two major opposition parties, the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), jointly announced on Tuesday last week that former TPP lawmaker Chang Chi-kai (張啟楷) would be their joint candidate for Chiayi mayor, following polling conducted earlier this month. It is the first case of blue-white (KMT-TPP) cooperation in selecting a joint candidate under an agreement signed by their chairpersons last month. KMT and TPP supporters have blamed their 2024 presidential election loss on failing to decide on a joint candidate, which ended in a dramatic breakdown with participants pointing fingers, calling polls unfair, sobbing and walking
In the opening remarks of her meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Friday, Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun (鄭麗文) framed her visit as a historic occasion. In his own remarks, Xi had also emphasized the history of the relationship between the KMT and the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Where they differed was that Cheng’s account, while flawed by its omissions, at least partially corresponded to reality. The meeting was certainly historic, albeit not in the way that Cheng and Xi were signaling, and not from the perspective