US support will continue
Nat Bellocchi is quite right ("Democracy the key to US support," May 8, page 8). The election of Chen Shui-bian (陳水扁) demonstrated to Americans that the KMT no longer "rules" Taiwan. If the people of Taiwan continue to reduce the KMT's dominance, Americans will likely increase their support for Taiwan.
While only a minority here seem committed to limiting the grasp of communism in Asia, those who are not may be swayed by the people of Taiwan's sincere embrace of democracy. Taiwan's freedom will continue to be supported by Americans, so long as "independence" is not its rallying cry.
Because Taiwan has successfully negotiated the waters of de facto independence for a sustained period, its only option is to stay the course and wait for the inevitable to run its course across the Strait.
Then, one day, in the absence of a totalitarian upper hand, the people of Taiwan will choose their own "official" destiny. I pray that that destiny will be one of a free and sovereign nation recognized worldwide as it always should have been, not as a province of China.
Mark Chally
Colorado, USA
Missile article off-target
Your article on long-range missile programs did not distinguish between the Dong Feng-31 ballistic missile's -- or any ballistic missile's -- ability to hit fixed sites and its ability to hit mobile targets ("China builds new missile platforms to deter US forces," May 7, page 1).
While ballistic missiles with conventional warheads can strike the former, they are not effective against maneuverable targets -- especially a US carrier battle group -- although the article suggested otherwise.
It indicated that the missile could be fired at a US carrier battle group leaving Hawaii, thereby deterring US military activity in the region. There is a marked difference, however, between "firing at" and "hitting" a target with a ballistic missile.
To successfully strike a mobile target, a missile would need fire control quality targeting information throughout its flight path, or a terminal seeker -- both highly complex technological challenges that no country has ever solved. The missile you described does not have a maneuverable warhead with an active seeker, making it incapable of hitting a mobile target.
Given that within only 90 minutes, a carrier battle group can sail anywhere within 6,300 square nautical miles, the targeting challenge for a ballistic missile is particularly acute. In the absence of real-time targeting via satellite, a country would be reliant on commercial imagery.
Such off-the-shelf real-time capability will simply not exist in the near future. The carrier battle group's maneuverability, renders this quality of imagery useless for targeting purposes.
It would indeed be disturbing if US carrier battle groups could be deterred by such a threat.
That is utterly unrealistic, however, which is why the US national security strategy can continue to rely upon these extremely capable ships.
Erik J. Leklem
Maryland, USA
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