China’s manufacturing activity contracted last month, official figures showed yesterday, due to tapering global demand and slow domestic recovery after curbs related to the COVID-19 pandemic were lifted.
The official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) — a key gauge of Chinese factory output — fell unexpectedly to 49.2 from 51.9 in March, and below the 50-point mark that separates expansion and contraction in activity, Chinese National Bureau of Statistics data showed.
Analysts polled by Bloomberg expected factory activity for last month to register at 51.4.
Photo: AP
The drop comes after February recorded the highest reading in more than a decade as factories returned to normal following a surge in COVID-19 cases.
China’s economy grew 4.5 percent in the first three months of the year as the country reopened after dropping strict health controls that helped keep the virus in check, but battered businesses and supply chains.
However, the world’s second-largest economy is also beset by a series of other crises, from a debt-laden property sector to flagging consumer confidence, global inflation, the threat of recession elsewhere and geopolitical tensions with the US.
The official non-manufacturing PMI, which measures growth in the services and construction sectors, fell to 56.4 from 58.2 in March.
The March reading was the highest since May 2011, as the country saw a surge in demand for travel, entertainment and other leisure services unavailable for nearly three years during the pandemic.
The government has set a comparatively modest growth target of about 5 percent this year, a goal Chinese Premier Li Qiang (李強) has said could be hard to achieve.
The Chinese Communist Party’s top policymaking body said in a statement on Friday that the economy faces headwinds from weak demand at home and the slow pace of reforms.
“China’s economy is mainly in the process of recovering, with [internal] driving forces still weak and demand insufficient,” the politburo said, as cited by the state-run Xinhua News Agency. “Economic transition and upgrading face new headwinds, and hardships... are still to be overcome to promote high-quality development.”
Beijing has promised further state support for the private sector, which is reeling from a regulatory crackdown on the property, technology and private education industries.
Policymakers are also looking for ways to push up domestic demand, as China’s export and manufacturing sectors struggle amid tepid global demand.
One bright spot in recent months has been households spending piled-up savings on travel.
Bookings for air and train tickets and hotel reservations for the five-day Labor Day holiday starting on Saturday all surpassed the levels recorded in the same period in 2019, before the pandemic hit, according to online Chinese travel agency Fliggy (飛豬).
“China’s service sector continues to grow strongly while the manufacturing sector shows signs of weakening,” Pinpoint Asset Management Ltd (保銀私募基金管理) chief economist Zhang Zhiwei (張智威) said.
“These mixed signals will likely keep the pressure on the government to continue its supportive fiscal and monetary policies in the second quarter,” he said.
AI SPLURGE: The four major US tech companies have lost more than US$950 billion in value since releasing earnings and outlooks, while equipment makers were gaining Four of the biggest US technology companies together have forecast capital expenditures that would reach about US$650 billion this year — a flood of cash earmarked for new data centers and all the gear within them. The spending planned by Alphabet Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Meta Platforms Inc and Microsoft Corp, all in pursuit of dominance in the still-nascent market for artificial intelligence (AI) tools, is a boom without a parallel this century. Each of the companies’ estimates for this year is expected either near or surpass their budgets for the past three years combined. They would set a high-watermark for capital spending
China’s top chipmaker has warned that breakaway spending on artificial intelligence (AI) chips is bringing forward years of future demand, raising the risk that some data centers could sit idle. “Companies would love to build 10 years’ worth of data center capacity within one or two years,” Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC, 中芯) cochief executive officer Zhao Haijun (趙海軍) said yesterday on a call with analysts. “As for what exactly these data centers will do, that hasn’t been fully thought through.” Moody’s Ratings projects that AI-related infrastructure investment would exceed US$3 trillion over the next five years, as developers pour eye-watering sums
Bank of America Corp nearly doubled its forecast for the nation’s economic growth this year, adding to a slew of upgrades even after a rip-roaring last year propelled by demand for artificial intelligence (AI). The firm lifted its projection to 8 percent from 4.5 percent on “relentless global demand” for the hardware that Taiwanese companies make, according to a note dated yesterday by analysts including Xiaoqing Pi (皮曉青). Taiwan’s GDP expanded 8.63 percent last year, the fastest pace since 2010. The increase “reflects our sustained optimism over Taiwan’s technology driven expansion and is reinforced by several recent developments,” including a more stable currency,
COLLABORATION: Taiwan and the US could jointly find solutions to weaknesses in supply chain resilience for critical materials, focusing on mining and initial refinement Taiwan is likely to purchase rare earths from the US in the future, and is also in talks with Australia and Canada to strengthen global rare earth supply chain security, Minister of Economic Affairs Kung Ming-hsin (龔明鑫) said yesterday. Taiwan and the US last month concluded the sixth Economic Prosperity Partnership Dialogue, during which both sides signed a joint statement endorsing the principles of the Pax Silica Declaration, pledging to deepen cooperation in areas including critical minerals. At the time, Kung said the two sides would establish working groups to advance cooperation in areas including artificial intelligence, digital infrastructure, critical materials and