UNITED STATES
IMF raises GDP tip
The IMF on Thursday raised its GDP growth projection for this year to 7.0 percent from a 4.6 percent forecast issued in April, due to unprecedented fiscal and monetary support. The IMF, in its annual “Article IV” assessment of the nation’s economic policies, said that the revised forecast represents the fastest pace of growth in a generation. It raised its GDP growth forecast for next year to 4.9 percent, up from its previous 3.5 percent April forecast. The new forecasts assume that the Congress will pass infrastructure, social spending and tax plans known as the American Jobs Plan and the American Families Plan this year at a similar size and composition to their original proposals, the IMF said. “Indicators suggest significant labor market slack remains, which should serve as a safety valve to dampen underlying wage and price pressures,” the IMF said in its review statement.
AUTOMAKERS
US sales jump
Automakers on Thursday reported huge jumps in second-quarter US sales, but face a challenging summer as a global semiconductor shortage continues to plague the industry. General Motors Co (GM) and Toyota Motor Corp had impressive increases compared with the same quarter last year, when large parts of the US economy remained under tight COVID-19 restrictions. GM said that US sales soared 40 percent this spring to 688,236 units. “The US economy is accelerating, consumer spending is robust and jobs are plentiful,” GM lead economist Elaine Buckberg said. “Consumer demand for vehicles is also strong, but constrained by very tight inventories. We expect continued high demand in the second half of this year and into 2022.” Toyota scored a 73 percent increase in US auto sales to 688,813 compared with the second quarter. Michelle Krebs of Cox Automotive said that GM and Toyota have low inventories of popular models, prompting some consumers to defer purchases because they could not find what they wanted, or were put off by elevated prices.
REAL ESTATE
China’s outlook downgraded
Morgan Stanley on Thursday downgraded its outlook on China’s property sector amid risks that policymakers might take steps to cool down the overheated market and further prompt developers to cut their debt levels. The US brokerage lowered its recommendation on the real-estate sector China to “in-line” from “attractive” in a note published. Strong sales continue and land sales “haven’t cooled off yet, therefore policy risk is still to the downside,” analysts led by Elly Chen (陳鐸) wrote.
SOUTH KOREA
Pace of inflation eases
The pace of inflation slowed for the first time in six months, according to data that supports the Bank of Korea’s view of recent price pressures as temporary. Consumer prices rose 2.4 percent from a year earlier, slowing from a 2.6 percent pace in May, data from Statistics Korea showed yesterday. Economists had expected the pace would decelerate only to 2.5 percent. The slowdown adds support to the central bank’s argument that recent price data have been boosted by comparison with last year’s dismal figures and some inflationary pressures are likely to fade going forward. The Bank of Korea said it expects inflation to fluctuate around its 2 percent target for the rest of the year before sliding lower next year.
Shares of contract chipmaker Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) came under pressure yesterday after a report that Apple Inc is looking to shift some orders from the Taiwanese company to Intel Corp. TSMC shares fell NT$55, or 2.4 percent, to close at NT$2,235 on the local main board, Taiwan Stock Exchange data showed. Despite the losses, TSMC is expected to continue to benefit from sound fundamentals, as it maintains a lead over its peers in high-end process development, analysts said. “The selling was a knee-jerk reaction to an Intel-Apple report over the weekend,” Mega International Investment Services Corp (兆豐國際投顧) analyst Alex Huang
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) is expected to remain Apple Inc’s primary chip manufacturing partner despite reports that Apple could shift some orders to Intel Corp, industry experts said yesterday. The comments came after The Wall Street Journal reported on Friday that Apple and Intel had reached a preliminary agreement following more than a year of negotiations for Intel to manufacture some chips for Apple devices. Taiwan Institute of Economic Research (台灣經濟研究院) economist Arisa Liu (劉佩真) said TSMC’s advanced packaging technologies, including integrated fan-out and chip-on-wafer-on-substrate, remain critical to the performance of Apple’s A-series and M-series chips. She said Intel and Samsung
TRANSITION: With the closure, the company would reorganize its Taiwanese unit to a sales and service-focused model, Bridgestone said Bridgestone Corp yesterday announced it would cease manufacturing operations at its tire plant in Hsinchu County’s Hukou Township (湖口), affecting more than 500 workers. Bridgestone Taiwan Co (台灣普利司通) said in a statement that the decision was based on the Tokyo-based tire maker’s adjustments to its global operational strategy and long-term market development considerations. The Taiwanese unit would be reorganized as part of the closure, effective yesterday, and all related production activities would be concluded, the statement said. Under the plan, Bridgestone would continue to deepen its presence in the Taiwanese market, while transitioning to a sales and service-focused business model, it added. The Hsinchu
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) has approved a capital budget of US$31.28 billion for production expansion to meet long-term development needs during the artificial intelligence (AI) boom. The company’s board meeting yesterday approved the capital appropriation plan for purposes such as the installation of advanced technology capacity and fab construction, the world’s largest contract chipmaker said in a statement. At an earnings conference last month, TSMC forecast that its capital expenditure for this year would be at the higher end of the US$52 billion to US$56 billion range it forecast in January in response to robust demand for 5G, AI and