A group of multimillionaire investors in the US are stockpiling cash at unprecedented levels.
Tiger 21, a club of more than 800 investors, on Thursday reported that its members have raised their cash holdings to 19 percent of their total assets on concerns over the economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic in the US. That is up from about 12 percent since the start of the outbreak.
About a quarter now expect the crisis to continue until the end of June next year, the group said.
“This rise in cash is an extraordinary change — statistically, this is the largest, fastest change in asset allocation Tiger 21 has seen,” said Michael Sonnenfeldt, chairman of the club, whose participants typically have more than US$100 million in assets.
“In trying to build resources prudently, members have gained liquidity and will not immediately reinvest in those areas in order to keep and build cash to weather this storm,” he said.
With almost 180,000 COVID-19 deaths, the US is among the worst-affected nations from the virus. It endured the worst recession on record in the second quarter, and economists are increasingly warning about a prolonged slowdown if lawmakers fail to provide US$1 trillion to US$2 trillion in relief funds this fall.
The economic hit from the pandemic has failed to put a halt to rising stock prices.
The S&P 500 Index closed at a peak on Thursday, taking its rebound from a March low to 56 percent thanks to continued support from the US Federal Reserve and strength from technology companies catering to people stuck at home.
That has also led to about 84 percent of chief financial officers now seeing equities as too expensive, according to a quarterly survey conducted by Deloitte LLP — the second-highest level in the decade since the accounting and consulting firm began collecting the data.
Only 2 percent of respondents said US stocks look cheap.
Tiger 21 members usually meet monthly in small gatherings to share perspectives and debate investments that are usually conservative and longer term.
Even as most expect the virus crisis to continue for the rest of this year, they remain confident in long-term US growth and are still looking for opportunities with “dramatic upside opportunity,” the group’s report said.
While they are long-term investors, many of Tiger 21’s members did take advantage of the initial market turmoil stemming from the pandemic and bet against the S&P 500.
That left Sonnenfeldt and other members with “3, 4, 5, even 10 times what we paid” for the put options they bought, he said in March, declining to disclose how much they wagered.
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