Business climate gauges for the manufacturing and service sectors both fell last month, reflecting growing pessimism about near-term economic conditions, the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research (TIER, 台灣經濟研究院) said yesterday.
The latest survey conducted by the Taipei-based institute showed that the manufacturing sector gauge fell to 97.77 points from 99.48 points in March.
The proportion of manufacturers who felt bullish about the near-term business outlook declined 20.2 percentage points to 29.2 percent last month, from 49.4 percent a month ago, while those who felt neutral or bearish rose to 43.1 percent and 27.7 percent respectively, compared with 37.5 percent and 13.1 percent in the previous survey, the institute said.
Asked about business prospects over the next six months, 42.4 percent of respondents felt bullish, down from 45.1 percent in March. Those who felt bearish stood at 15.1 percent last month, down from 18.6 percent the previous month.
“Weak economic momentum in Europe and China have caused Taiwan’s production to drop and weakened the growth in consumption, making businesses more pessimistic,” TIER president David Hong (洪德生) told a press conference.
Gordon Sun (孫明德), director of the institute’s macroeconomic forecasting center, said private consumption did not rise because more affluent people relocated abroad.
“About 1 million Taiwanese young people are working in China, who have the higher incomes and consumption power,” Sun said.
A separate survey showed the domestic service sector gauge dropped 0.95 points to 93.44 points last month, the third consecutive decline.
Within the service sector, companies in the telecom and financial industries are more optimistic about the next six months, with those in the finance industry expecting the upcoming capital gains tax revision to boost local stock market prospects, Sun said.
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