Developing Asian nations must carefully manage a massive inflow of foreign capital and avoid remedies that could create destabilizing “distortions,” the Asian Development Bank (ADB) chief warned yesterday.
ADB president Haruhiko Kuroda told Asian leaders at a summit in the Vietnamese capital, Hanoi, that capital flows are one of two risks that regional economies face as they rebound from the last global downturn.
His comments came shortly before the US Federal Reserve is expected to announce it will go into a second round of quantitative easing, injecting more money into the banking system to further stimulate the world’s biggest economy.
The first risk is if the recovery in the developed economies falters, Kuroda told presidents and prime ministers as well as US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and the Russian foreign minister.
“The second risk is capital flows, which could complicate macroeconomic management,” Kuroda said in a prepared speech made available to journalists. “We must be prepared.”
Referring to Asian economies outpacing growth in the developed world, Kuroda said: “Faster growth and higher yields can draw excessive — and potentially volatile — capital flows into the region.”
“Authorities are watching asset prices and exchange rates carefully, with several beginning to use well-targeted capital controls to limit speculation,” he said. “Care must be taken, however, not to create distortions.”
According to the Washington-based Institute of International Finance, net private capital flows to emerging economies are projected to reach US$825 billion this year, or over US$2 billion a day, up from US$581 billion last year.
The massive inflow has been a key factor pushing Asian currencies higher, which have made their exports more expensive on the global market.
It has also led to steep gains in stocks and property prices, stoking fears of “bubbles,” which could later burst if the money is withdrawn quickly, and prompted individual central banks to impose capital controls and other measures to cool down their markets.
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