Despite a decade-long slump in property prices and an outflow of corporate investment to China, local real-estate agents said they are upbeat about the market's outlook for 2003, though the market would not return to what it used to be some 10 years ago.
"The domestic real-estate market seemed to have reached its lowest point last year and does not seem likely to fall further over the next two years," said Chou Chun-chi (
In addition, as property developers have sharply cut back new construction projects over the last few years, the over-supply problem is not deteriorating, Chou said.
"Since the economy is expected to grow three to four percent next year, I believe the real-estate market will be recovering in 2003."
Chou also attributed the recovering market to the government's offering of NT$200 billion for low-interest loans to first-time home buyers and the decision to halve the land-value incremental tax for two years, starting April of this year.
According to the central bank, there was only NT$77.3 billion remaining as of Oct.11 of the original NT$200 billion set aside for the preferential loans. The loans have a low interest rate of 2.85 percent.
Sinyi, which adjusted its annual revenue in 2002 from NT$2.04 billion to NT$2.2 billion, said demand remained weak in the Kaohsiung area while demand remained strong in Taipei.
Chen Yun-ru (
However, Chen said that when the loans end it will discourage demand in the following quarters in 2003.
It is estimated that around 350,000 houses will be traded in the local market this year, compared with 320,000 in 2002.
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