VIA Technologies (
After the world's second largest chipset designer's August revenue had risen by over a third over the previous month to a record NT$3.80 billion, the market had been anticipating revenue this month would break the NT$4 billion mark. Instead, VIA said in a statement that while lower than expected, revenue should still exceed NT$3 billion.
The lower than expected September revenue was nothing unusual, VIA said. "Our customers will decrease shipments from VIA at this time to prevent too much inventory figures in their third quarter financial statement," said Richard Chang, manager of the president's office at VIA.
The VIA statement comes at a time when numerous finance houses are predicting a slowdown in PC demand growth and less than a week after Intel Corp issued a profit warning in which it blamed slower than expected PC demand in Europe. High oil prices and a weak euro are adding to the slowdown, analysts said.
Following the release of the statement in the last hour of trading yesterday, VIA's stock price slid from NT$369 to a close of NT$355. The stock fell 6.33 percent in total. The stock price has fallen by nearly a fifth in the last 13 days of trading.
Nevertheless, Richard Chang maintained that demand for VIA's products remained strong. "I think Intel's profit warning was not only because of a decrease in PC demand," he said. "Their product line hasn't gone so well and they have made some structural changes." Meanwhile, VIA's chipset business in particular remained strong, he said.
VIA's customers may indeed be smartening up their inventories in preparation for their third quarter financial statements, analysts said. However, a reluctance to carry a large inventory was a sure indication that slowing demand was also a factor in VIA's lower than expected September earnings.
"Why do they want to clean up their inventory?" asked Abraham Leu, head of Asian technology at Prudential-Bache. "Because they have built up too much inventory," he said.
If demand were normal, motherboard makers wouldn't be bothered about a high inventory. But now, inventory is too high as they can't get more orders, said Leu. "PC demand is slowing down inevitably," he said.
Eric Chen, an analyst at SG Securities, agreed. Motherboard makers aren't going to earn as much revenue as expected in September because of slowing PC demand, he said. And that's going to have an effect on orders for VIA's chipsets.
"I would guess VIA's revenue will be about NT$3.5 billion" for September, said Chen.
But VIA insisted otherwise. After the blip in September, revenue during the fourth quarter peak season could well reach a record high. "I think maybe it will happen in October," said Richard Chang.
Huang Han-wei, an analyst at Fubon Securities, also predicted October's revenue could exceed August's record figures. "VIA's clients could afford to be conservative over orders in September because, unlike in the first half of the year, there's no chipset shortage," he said. The slower than expected September revenue was therefore normal and should pick up again in October. "It's not absolutely definite that PC demand growth is affecting VIA," he said.
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