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Wed, Jan 11, 2006 - Page 12 News List

Dow finally pushes past 11,000 mark

REBOUND The Dow Jones industrial average, which has lagged small-caps as well as other large-caps, closed above 11,000 on Monday for the first time since June 2001

AP , NEW YORK

Richard Scavone, left, of RTS Securities Group, and a fellow trader pose for photographers from the floor of the New York Stock Exchange on Monday after the Dow Jones industrial average closed above 11,000 for the first time since June 2001.

PHOTO: AP

What took it so long?

The Dow Jones industrial average closed above 11,000 on Monday for the first time in more than four years -- one indicator of Wall Street's slow recovery from terror attacks, recession and corporate scandals.

The Dow, comprising 30 big-name large-cap stocks from Alcoa Inc to Wal-Mart Stores Inc, had a sleepy 2005, losing 65.51 points, or 0.61 percent, for the year. Hitting 11,000 merely means the Dow is "catching up with the other averages," said Alexander Paris, economist and analyst for Chicago-based Barrington Research.

"It's just a matter of the market evening itself out," he said. "The Dow was the only average in 2005 that didn't go up. The Dow has been below not only small-caps, but other large-caps."

In the first five trading days of the year, the Dow rose 2.75 percent, trailing the Standard & Poor's 500 index, which is up 3.35 percent and the NASDAQ composite index, which is up 5.14 percent.

Internet bubble

When the Dow last closed above 11,000 in June 2001, the Internet and telecom bubbles were in mid-burst. Business reporters wrote about "the new economy" and "the old economy" without irony. Google Inc was privately held and gold was trading at US$280 an ounce, near 20-year lows.

Now the Internet and telecom bubbles are dim memories, no distinction is made between "new" and "old" economies, Google Inc closed on Monday up US$1.24 at US$466.90 and gold is setting 25-year highs, hitting US$549.10 on Monday. And the Dow is still 711.08 points, or 6.07 percent off its bull market peak of 11,722.98, reached on Jan. 14, 2000.

The other thing that's changed: Large-cap stocks as a group -- and many of the specific names in the Dow 30 -- have fallen out of favor. "Will large caps ever grow again?" asked a recent Merrill Lynch report.

"The big blue-chip stocks have been the laggards for about five years," said Edward Yardeni, market analyst at money manager Oak Associates Ltd.

"Many blue chips are viewed as mature companies that aren't likely to show growth much exceeding GDP. Lots of names have managed to do that over the last five years, yet they haven't been accorded much respect," he said.

That said, none of the indexes have regained their bubble heights. The S&P 500 is down 237.31, or 15.54 percent below its peak of 1,527.46 in March 2000. The NASDAQ is 2,729.93, or 54.07 percent, below its peak of 5,048.62, also of March 2000.

Dow losers

But the Dow, with only 30 stocks, only needs a couple losers to keep it down. And it has had more than a couple:

Dow component General Motors Corp has swooned over the past two years as its market share has fallen and concerns over its high salary, pension and health care costs have intensified.

Big pharma Dow components Merck & Co and Pfizer Inc have likewise seen their stocks sink.

Citigroup Inc, the world's largest financial services company, has seen its reputation stained by regulatory problems; its private banking unit was kicked out of Japan in 2004.

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