IMF and World Bank policymakers meeting here today seek to preserve a global recovery that risks losing momentum next year, dragged down by rising energy costs, lackluster activity in Europe and huge deficits in the US.
Delegates, central bank governors and finance ministers for the most part, are also under pressure to act more decisively to ease the debt burden carried by the world's poorest countries.
The annual two-day meeting of the policy-setting committees of the two institutions comes as the world economy, according to the IMF, is in its best shape in nearly 30 years, with growth this year expected to hit five percent.
"The challenge is to keep the recovery going and to keep it going for as many years as possible," IMF Managing Director Rodrigo Rato said this week.
The IMF sees a slowdown setting in next year as the pace of global expansion slips to 4.3 percent.
Rato said national economies may well have to adjust to higher interest rates along with rising oil prices, which reflect tighter supply capacity, robust demand and uncertainties brought on by fears of terrorist disruption.
The IMF estimates that with each annual increase of US$5 a barrel, 0.3 points is shaved off world growth.
With its surging economy, China has developed a voracious appetite for oil and other commodities and its task now is to engineer a soft landing, an easing in its growth pace that does not cause undue hardship to neighboring countries dependent on the Chinese market as an export outlet. The IMF has warned that while Chinese authorities have taken steps to tighten credit and investment conditions, the risk of overheating remains.
"The question increasingly is not a hard or soft landing but whether China will land at all," IMF research director Raghuram Rajan said.
But the burden of maintaining world financial stability does not rest with China alone, and Rato in the past several weeks has repeatedly urged the US to curb its budget and current deficits, which he has said are threats to global economic health.
The US government budget deficit was predicted to have come to a record US$422 billion -- 3.6 percent of gross domestic product -- for the fiscal year that ended Sept. 30.
Economists and analysts fear that a sustained US budget shortfall will drive up global interest rates, and thereby dampen growth, as the US borrows huge amounts of money to finance the deficit.
While the eurozone is showing some signs of economic life, with growth of 2.2 percent foreseen this year, political leaders there have shown little inclination to carry out the market-friendly reforms needed to close the output gap with the US and Japan, according to the IMF.
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