Ukraine’s prime minister sought on Saturday to calm Russian fears over Kiev’s plans to sign a free-trade pact with the EU, but a Kremlin official repeated threats of retaliatory action.
Officials from Ukraine and its old Soviet master Russia clashed at an international gathering in the Black Sea resort of Yalta over Kiev’s plans to sign landmark agreements in November with the EU on political association and free trade.
Moody’s Investor Service cut Ukraine’s sovereign credit rating on Friday, partly on concern over relations with Russia.
Russia says it fears its market could be flooded by competitive EU goods entering Ukraine free of import duties and being re-exported across the long border with Russia.
However, Ukrainian Prime Minister Mykola Azarov, in a speech to the conference, dismissed the threat of illegal transit of EU goods into Russia as a “hypothetical” one that would not happen in practice.
“We are convinced that the signing [of the agreements with the EU] does not hold any risks [for Russia],” he said, adding that he would give personal assurances of this to Russia and its trade allies in the Moscow-led Customs Union.
He also expressed frustration at Russia’s refusal to cut the price of the gas it sells to Ukraine and said Kiev may have to reduce further the volume of its gas imports.
Ukraine’s pro-Europe drive has already drawn threats of counter-measures from Russian President Vladimir Putin, as well as pressure on Kiev to join the Customs Union.
Speaking after Azarov on Saturday, Sergei Glazyev, an aide to Putin, returned to the attack, saying that Russia might be obliged to impose duties on any goods arriving from Ukrainian territory, at a huge financial cost to Ukraine.
Saying 40 percent of Ukrainians had doubts over the agreements with the EU, Glazyev, who has made hawkish comments before about Ukraine’s pro-Europe policy, urged the Kiev government to ballot its people.
“Let us ... ask the Ukrainian people what choice they prefer,” he said.
Azarov had sharp words for Russia over its refusal to cut the price of its gas, which hangs heavy on Ukraine’s cash-strapped economy.
Ukraine pays what it sees as an exorbitant US$400 per thousand cubic meters under a 2009 contract, which Russia has refused to redraw.
In a bid to break away from reliance on Russia, Ukraine hopes to find alternative energy sources through shale gas exploration and imports from other sources.
Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovich on Friday reiterated that Kiev was committed to signing the agreements with the EU at a Nov. 28 summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, marking a pivotal shift away from Russia.
However, he refused to say whether he would free his jailed political rival, former Ukrainian prime minister Yulia Tymoshenko, who the EU says is a victim of “selective justice.”
Tymoshenko was sentenced to seven years in jail in 2011 for abuse of office after a trial that she says was a vendetta by Yanukovich.
Former Polish president Aleksander Kwasniewski, who is involved in mediation missions on behalf of the EU to get Tymoshenko released, urged Yanukovich to free her for medical treatment in Germany.
“She is ill. She needs surgery. She needs therapy and rehabilitation,” Kwasniewski said at the conference.
Freeing Tymoshenko now would mean “an absolutely open door” for the association agreement, he said.
Moody’s cut Ukraine’s sovereign debt rating by one notch to “Caa1” from “B3,” citing concerns over foreign currency reserves, new debt issuance and potentially worsening ties with Russia.
Moody’s said it welcomed the forthcoming EU trade pact as positive overall for Ukraine in the medium term, but added: “The short-term credit negative impact of a negative reaction by Russia outweighs these benefits.”