Modupe Adegbite’s grandfather had 22 children, while her father had nine. At the age of just 19, she has decided that she wants no more than four.
“Why do you have so many children if you cannot feed them?” she said.
It is a question that many young Nigerians are to face over the coming decades in Africa’s most populous country, where a booming population combined with poverty, record unemployment and roiling ethnic conflicts have some fearing a demographic “time bomb.”
Photo: AFP
Nigeria’s population is expected to leap from 190 million today to 410 million by 2050 — and to almost twice that number again by the end of the century — the UN’s World Population Prospects said.
That would mean that in just 30 years, Nigeria would be the world’s third-biggest nation, behind only China and India.
For young women like Adegbite, who was born in Bada, one of the poorest neighborhoods in the economic capital of Lagos, getting access to sex education and birth control can be difficult.
However, Bada, which lacks electricity and paved roads, does have a family planning center that opened last year.
Condoms, the pill and hormonal implants are freely available at the local 9ja Girls Centre, run by the US-based non-profit organization Populations Services International.
“Most of the girls here are sexually active at 15, sometimes 14 years old,” Naomi Ali of the center said. “They start very early, whatever their religion, so they quickly become pregnant and they stop going to school.”
At first teenagers and young women in the area were suspicious, but Ali said that hundreds now openly talk in the street about once taboo issues such as sexuality and romantic relationships.
“It’s difficult. Sometimes they believe that contraception will make them infertile, or the parents categorically reject it,” she said.
Nigerian women have on average 5.53 children, according to the World Bank, but the rate fluctuates greatly between major cities like Lagos and rural areas, where it reaches up to eight children per woman.
The situation in northern Nigeria was “urgent,” UN Population Fund West Africa director Mabingue Ngom said.
“If we do nothing, we are going to face major problems,” Ngom said.
“Of the 20 million young Africans who enter the job market every year, only 2 to 3 million find work,” he said.
“That’s what feeds into conflicts and terrorism,” he added, referring to the Boko Haram militant group that emerged from northern Nigeria, an area which, along with neighboring Niger, has the world’s highest fertility rates.
Nigeria is small compared with the world’s other highly populous nations — at 923,000km2, it is one-10th the size of the US — and the fight for space is already causing conflict.
In the fertile center of the West African country, clashes last year between farmers and herders over access to land and water left several thousand dead.
Efforts to get families to have fewer children have struggled due to the lack of a social safety net.
The idea that having more children means elderly parents would more likely be taken care of after retirement remains deeply rooted in Nigerian society.
However, some analysts have said that large population growth could be an opportunity for the country, as foreign investors eye a rapidly expanding market.
Population growth “should become a dividend for the next 20 years in Nigeria,” Renaissance Capital global chief economist Charles Robertson said.
Nigeria’s priority should be to develop “a high level of adult literacy with a steady supply of electricity, especially in large cities,” he said. “It is the best way for young people to get better paid jobs and sustain their families.”
Nigerian Vice President Yemi Osinbajo seemed to agree at an economic forum last year.
“To avoid the time-bomb scenario, we must act with urgency to build an economy that can support that population, provide jobs and economic opportunity, education and healthcare, hope and optimism,” he said.
Republican US lawmakers on Friday criticized US President Joe Biden’s administration after sanctioned Chinese telecoms equipment giant Huawei unveiled a laptop this week powered by an Intel artificial intelligence (AI) chip. The US placed Huawei on a trade restriction list in 2019 for contravening Iran sanctions, part of a broader effort to hobble Beijing’s technological advances. Placement on the list means the company’s suppliers have to seek a special, difficult-to-obtain license before shipping to it. One such license, issued by then-US president Donald Trump’s administration, has allowed Intel to ship central processors to Huawei for use in laptops since 2020. China hardliners
A top Vietnamese property tycoon was on Thursday sentenced to death in one of the biggest corruption cases in history, with an estimated US$27 billion in damages. A panel of three hand-picked jurors and two judges rejected all defense arguments by Truong My Lan, chair of major developer Van Thinh Phat, who was found guilty of swindling cash from Saigon Commercial Bank (SCB) over a decade. “The defendant’s actions ... eroded people’s trust in the leadership of the [Communist] Party and state,” read the verdict at the trial in Ho Chi Minh City. After the five-week trial, 85 others were also sentenced on
‘DELUSIONAL’: Targeting the families of Hamas’ leaders would not push the group to change its position or to give up its demands for Palestinians, Ismail Haniyeh said Israeli aircraft on Wednesday killed three sons of Hamas’ top political leader in the Gaza Strip, striking high-stakes targets at a time when Israel is holding delicate ceasefire negotiations with the militant group. Hamas said four of the leader’s grandchildren were also killed. Ismail Haniyeh’s sons are among the highest-profile figures to be killed in the war so far. Israel said they were Hamas operatives, and Haniyeh accused Israel of acting in “the spirit of revenge and murder.” The deaths threatened to strain the internationally mediated ceasefire talks, which appeared to gain steam in recent days even as the sides remain far
RAMPAGE: A Palestinian man was left dead after dozens of Israeli settlers searching for a missing 14-year-old boy stormed a village in the Israeli-occupied West Bank US President Joe Biden on Friday said he expected Iran to attack Israel “sooner, rather than later” and warned Tehran not to proceed. Asked by reporters about his message to Iran, Biden simply said: “Don’t,” underscoring Washington’s commitment to defend Israel. “We are devoted to the defense of Israel. We will support Israel. We will help defend Israel and Iran will not succeed,” he said. Biden said he would not divulge secure information, but said his expectation was that an attack could come “sooner, rather than later.” Israel braced on Friday for an attack by Iran or its proxies as warnings grew of