In a major shift in immigration patterns over the next 50 years, Asians are likely to surge past Hispanics to become the largest group of immigrants heading to the US, a new immigration study showed.
The report looks in detail at what could happen by 2065, but the tipping point comes in 2055.
An increase in Asian and Hispanic immigration could also drive US population growth, with foreign-born residents expected to make up 18 percent of the nation’s projected 441 million people in 50 years, the Pew Research Center said in a report released yesterday. This would be a record, higher than the nearly 15 percent during the late 19th century and early 20th century wave of immigration from Europe.
Immigrants now make up 14 percent of the population, an increase from 5 percent in 1965.
The actual change is expected to come in 2055, when Asians are likely to become the largest immigrant group at 36 percent, compared with Hispanics at 34 percent. White immigrants to the US, 80 percent back in 1965, could hover somewhere between 18 and 20 percent, with black immigrants in the 8 percent to 9 percent range, the study said.
Currently, 47 percent of immigrants living in the US are Hispanic, but by 2065 that number is likely to have dropped to 31 percent. Asians currently make up 26 percent of the immigrant population, but in 50 years that percentage is expected to increase to 38 percent.
Pew researchers analyzed a combination of Census Bureau information and its own data to develop its projections. The survey was conducted online from March 10 to April 6.
Part of the reason for the shift is that the fertility rate of women in Latin America, especially Mexico, has decreased, Pew director of Hispanic research Mark Lopez said. In Mexico, women are now having about two children, compared with about seven per woman in the 1960s and 1970s, he said.
“There are relatively fewer people who would choose to migrate from Mexico so demographic changes in Mexico have led to a somewhat smaller pool of potential migrants,” he said.
“At the same time we’ve seen a growing number of immigrants particularly from China or India who are coming for reasons such as pursuing a college degree or coming here to work temporarily in the high-tech sector,” he said.
Despite the increase in Asian immigrants, Hispanics are likely to make up a larger number inside the US, Lopez said.
“Hispanic population growth is coming from people born here in the United States,” he said, adding that it was a recent change from the trend in the ’80s and ’90s.
By 2065, no racial or ethnic group would hold a majority in the US, with whites holding 46 percent of the population, Hispanics at 24 percent, Asians at 14 percent and blacks at 13 percent. Currently, the US is 62 percent white, 18 percent Hispanic, 12 percent black and 6 percent Asian.
Pew also asked Americans surveyed for one word to describe immigrants in the US today. Twelve percent said “illegal,” “overpopulation” was at 5 percent, “legality [other than illegal]” at 4 percent, and “jobs,” “deportation,” “Americans” and “work ethic” at 3 percent each. Forty-nine percent offered general descriptions, and of those, 12 percent were positive, 11 percent negative and 26 percent neutral, according to the report.
Americans also said immigrants are likely to make the US better, with 45 percent agreeing and 37 percent saying they make the country worse. Eighteen said they see no impact.
Republican US lawmakers on Friday criticized US President Joe Biden’s administration after sanctioned Chinese telecoms equipment giant Huawei unveiled a laptop this week powered by an Intel artificial intelligence (AI) chip. The US placed Huawei on a trade restriction list in 2019 for contravening Iran sanctions, part of a broader effort to hobble Beijing’s technological advances. Placement on the list means the company’s suppliers have to seek a special, difficult-to-obtain license before shipping to it. One such license, issued by then-US president Donald Trump’s administration, has allowed Intel to ship central processors to Huawei for use in laptops since 2020. China hardliners
Conjoined twins Lori and George Schappell, who pursued separate careers, interests and relationships during lives that defied medical expectations, died this month in Pennsylvania, funeral home officials said. They were 62. The twins, listed by Guinness World Records as the oldest living conjoined twins, died on April 7 at the Hospital of the University of Pennsylvania, obituaries posted by Leibensperger Funeral Homes of Hamburg said. The cause of death was not detailed. “When we were born, the doctors didn’t think we’d make 30, but we proved them wrong,” Lori said in an interview when they turned 50, the Philadelphia Inquirer reported. The
RAMPAGE: A Palestinian man was left dead after dozens of Israeli settlers searching for a missing 14-year-old boy stormed a village in the Israeli-occupied West Bank US President Joe Biden on Friday said he expected Iran to attack Israel “sooner, rather than later” and warned Tehran not to proceed. Asked by reporters about his message to Iran, Biden simply said: “Don’t,” underscoring Washington’s commitment to defend Israel. “We are devoted to the defense of Israel. We will support Israel. We will help defend Israel and Iran will not succeed,” he said. Biden said he would not divulge secure information, but said his expectation was that an attack could come “sooner, rather than later.” Israel braced on Friday for an attack by Iran or its proxies as warnings grew of
A prominent Christian leader has allegedly been stabbed at the altar during a Mass yesterday in southwest Sydney. Bishop Mar Mari Emmanuel was saying Mass at Christ The Good Shepherd Church in Wakeley just after 7pm when a man approached him at the altar and allegedly stabbed toward his head multiple times. A live stream of the Mass shows the congregation swarm forward toward Emmanuel before it was cut off. The church leader gained prominence during the COVID-19 pandemic, amassing a large online following, Officers attached to Fairfield City police area command attended a location on Welcome Street, Wakeley following reports a number