Herman Cain’s rise in the polls appears to be no fluke.
Unlike some other Republican US presidential contenders who have flamed out fast after auditioning as the conservative antidote to former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, Cain is still riding high atop public opinion surveys.
“They said I was the flavor of the week,” the Georgia businessman said at an appearance on Friday on a campaign swing through Alabama. “But four weeks later, the Cain campaign still tastes good.”
Cain lacks the money and organization of his top-tier Republican competitors. So far, however, he’s survived several high-profile campaign blunders and an onslaught of attacks on his signature “9-9-9” tax overhaul plan.
And despite the sudden rise to the top tier of the Republican Party, Cain is still doing things his own way.
He’s carving out an unorthodox — and some say impossible — path to the White House, largely eschewing early voting states to focus heavily on the South — where “Tea Party” groups, social conservatives and evangelical voters that make up the backbone of his support hold sway. It’s been weeks since Cain has set foot in Iowa or New Hampshire. Instead, he’s barnstormed through Tennessee and Alabama, states that don’t hold primaries until March next year.
“The South looks very, very good for us,” Mark Block, Cain’s campaign manager, said in an interview. “Do the early states matter? Of course, but they are not everything.”
Block says next year’s compressed primary calendar means more states will play larger roles. So instead of tromping around New Hampshire trying to win over skeptics, the campaign team is revving up support in states where Cain’s small-government, anti-tax message and church revival-style delivery resonate with voters.
In Alabama on Saturday, Cain predicted victory in South Carolina, which will hold the South’s first presidential nominating contest in January. That win, Cain said, will set the stage for him to capture the Republican nomination.
However, Cain also said he plans to “dial back” his campaign and media appearances in order to avoid missteps. Since climbing in the polls, he’s had a series of fumbles and has had to clarify comments on abortion, immigration and terrorism suspects.
In Alabama, which won’t hold its primary until March 13, Cain was greeted with enthusiastic overflow crowds at every stop. In Talladega, residents were visibly excited by the first visit from a presidential candidate in modern memory.
“I heard that FDR [former US president Franklin Roosevelt] waved from the train once when he came through,” said Jeanne Rasco, who had turned out for a packed Cain rally at a historic theater on the city square. “I think it shows he cares about our values. He’s one of us.”
Cain himself plays up his Southern roots: His drawl grows a little thicker and he mentions God a little more frequently, to suit the crowd.
“I am in Alabama because Alabama matters,” Cain said at the state’s party headquarters. “Y’all are my neighbors.”
And in the South, some Cain supporters say that supporting an African-American could turn long-held racial perceptions around. No Deep South states supported US President Barack Obama in 2008 and elected representatives in the state have become more racially polarized in recent years.
Scott Beason, a Republican Alabama state senator, said a Cain win, especially in the Deep South, would be a visible sign of progress.
“It would change the stereotypes that still exist about how people make their decisions down here,” Beason said.
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