The US Congress returns to Washington this week under mounting pressure to strike an agreement with US President Barack Obama on a bill to fund the government.
That’s proving difficult enough. Then comes the even harder part for US House Speaker John Boehner: convincing his many conservative tea party-backed Republican freshmen that the sort of split-the-differences measure Obama could sign isn’t a sellout.
Time is running short. Staff-level negotiations last week ran aground and the principals are going to have to pick up the pace to have any chance of making the deadline on Friday next week to avoid a partial shutdown of the government. Right now, it appears that the shutdown that both sides have sworn to avoid is possible — if not probable.
Republicans complain that the White House and Senate Democrats, after hinting of deep spending cuts, have been slow in officially offering them.
The frustration boiled over on Friday, with Republicans criticizing Democrats for not presenting significant cuts. An offer a few days earlier had ponied up just another US$10 billion or so, Republican officials said, which prompted House Majority Leader Eric Cantor to accuse Democrats of “negotiating off the status quo and refusing to offer any sort of serious plan for how to cut spending.”
The tough rhetoric was matched by volleys from Boehner and other House Republican leaders. That prompted Democratic Senator Chuck Schumer to accuse Republicans of blowing up a near agreement on a “top line” of spending cuts that would have likely given Republicans more than half of their US$60 billion-plus in reductions.
“After days of positive negotiations, with significant flexibility shown by the speaker, the House Republican leadership is back to agonizing over whether to give in to right-wing demands that they abandon any compromise on their extreme cuts,” Schumer said.
Democrats also say that House Republicans insist on using House-passed legislation slashing more than US$60 billion from the current-year budget as the starting point for talks, pulling back from an agreement with Boehner’s office to work off a baseline essentially set at last year’s levels.
Boehner appears to be in a no-win situation. Any agreement with Obama is sure to incite a revolt among hard-line tea partiers who want the full roster of cuts and an end to funding for Obama’s signature healthcare reform law. And social conservatives are adamant that the measure cut off money for Planned Parenthood clinics that provide abortions in addition to the family planning services the government funds. Any attempts to outmuscle Obama with legislation that pleases tea partiers, however, would surely incite a shutdown.
“The speaker knows that when it comes to avoiding a shutdown, his problem is with the tea party, not Democrats,” Schumer said.
Republicans promised last year that they would ratchet spending down to 2008 levels and force Obama to backtrack on generous budget increases made on his watch. To meet the promise, Republican leaders initially pressed for about US$35 billion in cuts in a proposal that took account of the fact that the budget year is almost halfway over.
That idea didn’t sell with tea party activists, and Boehner was forced to almost double the size of the cuts, driving away any potential Democratic support. But that means that the halfway point between the House-passed measure and a proposal advanced by Democrats controlling the Senate is roughly where Boehner started out in the first place.
Democrats are also pressing to use savings from non-appropriated accounts like farm subsidies to replace cuts made from agency operating budgets, a move that Republicans are resisting.
“I think if Boehner and Obama could sit down, they could probably cut a deal pretty quickly, but I think Boehner’s got too many cats to herd in order to go where he has to go,” Democratic budget expert Scott Lilly of the liberal-leaning Center for American Progress said. “There’s a lot of turmoil that needs to take place before this straightens itself out.”
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