A UN mission set up to oversee Nepal’’ post-war transition will close later this week, as fears rise that a failure to fulfill pledges made at the end of the conflict is threatening lasting peace.
The UN Mission in Nepal (UNMIN) was created in 2007 with a temporary mandate to monitor progress towards durable peace after a decade-long conflict between Maoist insurgents and the state, in which at least 16,000 people died.
It helped establish camps for thousands of Maoist fighters pending agreement on their integration into the national army — a key tenet of the peace agreement.
PHOTO: AFP
UNMIN also assisted with 2008 elections that brought the former rebels briefly to power.
However, progress has stalled, with growing disagreements between the Maoists and their political rivals, and the UN said last September the mission would close on Jan. 15.
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon said UNMIN was designed to be a transitional arrangement and it made little sense to keep it open “without any meaningful progress by the parties on political issues.”
Officials also complained the mission had been unfairly dragged into the political battles that have prevented the formation of a new government since the last one collapsed in June.
More than four years after the war ended, many of the promises made by both sides remain unfulfilled and the planned merger of the two armies, intended to draw a line under the conflict, looks increasingly unlikely.
“The larger peace process is already unraveling,” journalist and political commentator Prashant Jha said. “I’m quite pessimistic. I don’t see a broad deal [between the parties] happening, and if that is the case, the framework of the 2006 peace agreement will collapse.”
The UN Security Council urged Nepal’s political leaders to reach agreement before Jan. 15 on the fate of the 19,000 members of the Maoist People’s Liberation Army (PLA) confined to military camps since the end of the war.
However, the issue remains unresolved, and no arrangement has been put in place for the monitoring of the two rival armies and their weapons after UNMIN leaves.
The caretaker government says the Nepalese army should no longer be subject to monitoring, and wants supervision of the PLA camps to be handed over to a specially formed cross-party committee.
The Maoists say that would contravene the terms of the 2006 peace agreement and have asked the UN to extend its mission by another four months — a request experts say is unlikely to be granted.
“If an arrangement to monitor and supervise the Maoist fighters is not put into place before UNMIN’s exit, the combatants might just leave the cantonments,” said Lok Raj Baral, a political science professor at Kathmandu’s Tribhuvan University.
“That would be the end of the peace process,” he said.
The departure of UNMIN comes as Nepal faces its biggest political crisis since the end of the war.
The country has been without a government for more than six months and political leaders appear further than ever from reaching agreement on forming a new coalition after 16 failed attempts to vote in a new prime minister.
Work on drafting a new national Constitution intended to draw a line under centuries of inequality under royal rule — another key tenet of the peace agreement — is in limbo.
Analysts warn that the political crisis may ultimately result in the dissolution of the Constituent Assembly or parliament, which was elected on a two-year mandate to draft the Constitution which was extended for 12 months in May.
“If the Constitution is not drafted on time, the country will lose its legitimacy,” political analyst Yubaraj Ghimire said. “There will be strong demands for the president to take control with the backing of the Nepal army, a move that India is likely to support.”
India already exerts considerable influence over its northern neighbor, and analysts said New Delhi may try to capitalize on the power vacuum.
“A section of the Indian establishment ... were not hoping that the Maoists would emerge as a strong force,” Jha said.
“Over the past year and a half, especially after the Maoist withdrawal from the government, there has been a concerted move to isolate and weaken them,” Jha added. “UNMIN and the Constituent Assembly are two institutions that give space and legitimacy to the Maoists. If these are dismantled, the Maoists will be further marginalized.”
Nearly half of China’s major cities are suffering “moderate to severe” levels of subsidence, putting millions of people at risk of flooding, especially as sea levels rise, according to a study of nationwide satellite data released yesterday. The authors of the paper, published by the journal Science, found that 45 percent of China’s urban land was sinking faster than 3mm per year, with 16 percent at more than 10mm per year, driven not only by declining water tables, but also the sheer weight of the built environment. With China’s urban population already in excess of 900 million people, “even a small portion
UNSETTLING IMAGES: The scene took place in front of TV crews covering the Trump trial, with a CNN anchor calling it an ‘emotional and unbelievably disturbing moment’ A man who doused himself in an accelerant and set himself on fire outside the courthouse where former US president Donald Trump is on trial has died, police said yesterday. The New York City Police Department (NYPD) said the man was declared dead by staff at an area hospital. The man was in Collect Pond Park at about 1:30pm on Friday when he took out pamphlets espousing conspiracy theories, tossed them around, then doused himself in an accelerant and set himself on fire, officials and witnesses said. A large number of police officers were nearby when it happened. Some officers and bystanders rushed
Beijing is continuing to commit genocide and crimes against humanity against Uyghurs and other Muslim minorities in its western Xinjiang province, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said in a report published on Monday, ahead of his planned visit to China this week. The State Department’s annual human rights report, which documents abuses recorded all over the world during the previous calendar year, repeated language from previous years on the treatment of Muslims in Xinjiang, but the publication raises the issue ahead of delicate talks, including on the war in Ukraine and global trade, between the top U.S. diplomat and Chinese
‘IN A DIFFERENT PLACE’: The envoy first visited Shanghai, where he attended a Chinese basketball playoff match, and is to meet top officials in Beijing tomorrow US Secretary of State Antony Blinken yesterday arrived in China on his second visit in a year as the US ramps up pressure on its rival over its support for Russia while also seeking to manage tensions with Beijing. The US diplomat tomorrow is to meet China’s top brass in Beijing, where he is also expected to plead for restraint as Taiwan inaugurates president-elect William Lai (賴清德), and to raise US concerns on Chinese trade practices. However, Blinken is also seeking to stabilize ties, with tensions between the world’s two largest economies easing since his previous visit in June last year. At the