The administration of US President Barack Obama has ready a powerful economic weapon if talks with Myanmar fail to achieve democratic reforms: pressuring banks to avoid doing business with the country’s ruling generals.
A similar approach has been used to push North Korea to give up its nuclear weapons. In Myanmar’s case, targeting international banks could effectively tie up the large amounts of money the generals get from selling natural gas.
The US Congress has already provided the power to go after the banks; some rights groups want Obama to use it soon, or at least if direct talks fail.
So far, however, the administration has been hesitant. It has just started face-to-face negotiations and wants to give them more time to show results. Imposing the banking sanctions would be expensive and time-consuming, and Myanmar isn’t a top priority on a crowded foreign policy agenda that includes Afghanistan and Iran.
Still, the administration has warned of tougher action if engagement breaks down with Myanmar, also known as Burma. And the mere threat could add force to the US negotiating position.
“We will reserve the option of tightening sanctions on the regime and its supporters to respond to events in Burma,” Obama’s top diplomat for East Asia, Kurt Campbell, told lawmakers in September.
Myanmar has one of the most repressive governments in the world and has been controlled by the military since 1962. For years, the US has used punishing sanctions to try to force change on the country, with little success. Former US president George W. Bush’s administration favored shunning Myanmar, and Bush’s wife, Laura, and many in Congress were strong advocates of the nascent democracy movement there.
Now, the Obama administration has reversed the isolation policy in favor of engagement, which it hopes will persuade the generals to grant greater freedoms to opposition parties and minorities and to free political prisoners.
Myanmar has since made a few symbolic gestures of good will, letting detained democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi meet with Campbell, for instance, and releasing some political prisoners. At the same time, it has continued to persecute ethnic minorities, journalists and student activists.
Obama himself spoke of a possibly stronger position on Myanmar in his Nobel Peace Prize acceptance speech.
There will be engagement and diplomacy with Myanmar, he said, “but there must be consequences when those things fail.”
Activists say those consequences should include the application of a law that allows the US to use financial measures to hinder Myanmar’s ability to access the international banking system.
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