US strategists believe the ASBM could fall under that service’s remit.
Even without full satellite cover, the threat to carrier groups is credible if China is able to launch multiple missiles and cripple, but not necessarily sink, a carrier or its escorts.
“I’m not forecasting its usage. They are doing it hoping it will deter, and never be used in combat,” McVadon said. “We may never know how well it works.”



