But ASEAN rarely interferes in the domestic affairs of its members, and Myanmar, under the military's control since 1962, has a record of retreating into a shell rather than give in to outside pressure.
"It's dicey. Than Shwe could easily say, `I don't give a damn about foreigners. We'll go back to our isolation,'" Steinberg says.
"Real change can only come from within, people staging a coup d'etat or whatever," says Asda.



