While the impact of former president Chen Shui-bian’s (陳水扁) corruption scandal on the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) is debatable, if the party is serious about winning the next presidential election, it will have to reassess its China policy to win the public’s support, analysts said yesterday.
Opposition to the so-called “1992 consensus” was not the reason why the DPP lost the Jan. 14 presidential election, rather it was the party’s failure to formulate and articulate its China policy, the analysts said at a forum held by the Taiwan Brain Trust to discuss the DPP’s loss.
“When examining the loss and preparing for the future, the DPP should work on two things: A complete assessment of Chen Shui-bian’s legacy and a well-thought-out China policy, based on its long-standing position of safeguarding Taiwan’s sovereignty, that could convince voters,” former DPP legislator Lin Cho-shui (林濁水) said.
Photo: Lin Cheng-kung, Taipei Times
Public opinion polls showed that support for DPP Chairperson Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) remained stable during the run-up to the election, when several business tycoons voiced their support for the “1992 consensus,” Lin said.
Data also showed that President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) and the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) suffered every time the focus of the campaign shifted to sovereignty, such as when Ma raised the issue of a future peace agreement with China, which is why the “1992 consensus” — also a sovereignty-related issue — most likely did not hurt Tsai, Lin said.
Lin said it was Tsai’s inconsistent China policy that had cost her the public’s support.
For example, two years ago, Tsai opposed the cross-strait Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) trade deal, then she said she would categorically accept the inked deal, only to lash out against the agreement in a presidential debate, Lin said.
Former DPP legislator Kuo Cheng-liang (郭正亮) said Ma was elected not because Taiwanese recognized the legitimacy of the “1992 consensus,” but because Ma and the KMT “brilliantly connected the consensus with Taiwan’s economic future and the voters bought the theory.”
The KMT still used its traditional tactic of playing the “stability card,” Kuo said, but it no longer stressed the political side of the issue.
On the contrary, the KMT stressed the economic side of the “stability card” and eventually won the endorsement of Beijing, Washington and the majority of voters, he added.
Political analyst Chen Sung-shan (陳淞山) said the DPP lost the election because voters did not trust it to handle cross-strait relations, not because of its refusal to accept the consensus.
However, the analysts had differing views on the DPP handling of Chen Shui-bian’s scandal.
Lin said the party should thoroughly assess Chen Shui-bian’s merits: “Otherwise, questions such as ‘Will the DPP grant Chen amnesty?’ will resurface in the 2016 presidential election.”
He added that the shadow of the scandal might perhaps taunt the DPP forever.
However, Billy Pan (潘建志), a psychiatrist and political blogger, said the DPP had already “distanced itself too much from Chen [Shui-bian]” to reap the benefit of the party’s successes during his eight years in office between 2000 and 2008.
The DPP intentionally stayed away from all of Chen’s achievements as president, including economic exploits such as the nations accession to the WTO in 2002 and its above-average economic performance during the dotcom bubble in the early 2000’s, which allowed the KMT to portray the DPP as weak on the economy, Pan said.
Coincidentally, the former president, who is serving a 17-and-a-half-year prison sentence for corruption, wrote about the DPP’s intention to sever its ties with him in a column published yesterday, saying that the party should not “turn friends into enemies” if it wants to succeed again.
“No wonder Tsai lost the election; when Ma trusted [former DPP member and Kaohsiung County commissioner] Yang Chiu-hsing (楊秋興) with an important position, but Tsai wants to expel Chen Shui-bian,” he wrote.
Former Czech Republic-based Taiwanese researcher Cheng Yu-chin (鄭宇欽) has been sentenced to seven years in prison on espionage-related charges, China’s Ministry of State Security announced yesterday. China said Cheng was a spy for Taiwan who “masqueraded as a professor” and that he was previously an assistant to former Cabinet secretary-general Cho Jung-tai (卓榮泰). President-elect William Lai (賴清德) on Wednesday last week announced Cho would be his premier when Lai is inaugurated next month. Today is China’s “National Security Education Day.” The Chinese ministry yesterday released a video online showing arrests over the past 10 years of people alleged to be
THE HAWAII FACTOR: While a 1965 opinion said an attack on Hawaii would not trigger Article 5, the text of the treaty suggests the state is covered, the report says NATO could be drawn into a conflict in the Taiwan Strait if Chinese forces attacked the US mainland or Hawaii, a NATO Defense College report published on Monday says. The report, written by James Lee, an assistant research fellow at Academia Sinica’s Institute of European and American Studies, states that under certain conditions a Taiwan contingency could trigger Article 5 of NATO, under which an attack against any member of the alliance is considered an attack against all members, necessitating a response. Article 6 of the North Atlantic Treaty specifies that an armed attack in the territory of any member in Europe,
LIKE FAMILY: People now treat dogs and cats as family members. They receive the same medical treatments and tests as humans do, a veterinary association official said The number of pet dogs and cats in Taiwan has officially outnumbered the number of human newborns last year, data from the Ministry of Agriculture’s pet registration information system showed. As of last year, Taiwan had 94,544 registered pet dogs and 137,652 pet cats, the data showed. By contrast, 135,571 babies were born last year. Demand for medical care for pet animals has also risen. As of Feb. 29, there were 5,773 veterinarians in Taiwan, 3,993 of whom were for pet animals, statistics from the Animal and Plant Health Inspection Agency showed. In 2022, the nation had 3,077 pediatricians. As of last
XINJIANG: Officials are conducting a report into amending an existing law or to enact a special law to prohibit goods using forced labor Taiwan is mulling an amendment prohibiting the importation of goods using forced labor, similar to the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) passed by the US Congress in 2021 that imposed limits on goods produced using forced labor in China’s Xinjiang region. A government official who wished to remain anonymous said yesterday that as the US customs law explicitly prohibits the importation of goods made using forced labor, in 2021 it passed the specialized UFLPA to limit the importation of cotton and other goods from China’s Xinjiang Uyghur region. Taiwan does not have the legal basis to prohibit the importation of goods