Sat, Jan 08, 2011 - Page 3 News List

PLA drive targets Taiwan: US study

‘PUNITIVE STRIKE’:Dan Blumenthal says China’s strategy would be a quick strike against Taiwan and US bases, under the assumption that the US would not risk nuclear escalation

By William Lowther  /  Staff Reporter in WASHINGTON

Japan, says the analysis, may be eager to clear its territorial waters of PLA surface ships and submarines, but “responding to an attack on Taiwan, particularly if Japan itself is not attacked, may be a whole other matter.”

Blumenthal says that if China conducts an unprovoked attack that looks like an opening gambit to change the regional balance of power, then perhaps Canberra, Singapore and Tokyo “would do what they could to help defeat PRC forces.”

However, he added: “Today, it is just as easy to imagine that they would be reluctant to participate.”

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