Japan and China have entered a new phase in their fight to be Asia's dominant power, with a row over Japan's visa for Taiwan's veteran leader indicating Tokyo will no longer back down to its neighbor, analysts said yesterday.
The Japanese government issued tourist visas on Tuesday to former Taiwanese president Lee Teng-hui (
"Through the visa issue, Japan appears to be showing it is an independent country and sticks to its policies without asking about a third country's wishes," said Hidekazu Kawai, a professor of international politics at Gakushuin University in Tokyo.
Japan said 81-year-old Lee, who left office in 2000, was a private citizen and there was no reason to stop him touring historic sites in the country where he studied in his youth.
But Beijing called the issuance of the visa in Taipei a "very significant incident" and hinted of retaliation.
It says Lee is bent on helping the island achieve formal independence.
The dispute came as relations between Japan and China were already at an ebb after a Chinese submarine breached Japanese waters and Japan listed China as a potential threat in its updated defense guidelines.
"The two countries are now entering into a new phase of their tug of war, vying for the region's leadership in this century," said Yoshinobu Yamamoto, a professor of international politics at Aoyama Gakuin University in Tokyo.
As the competition heats up, Japan has repeatedly warned it is going to cut off financial assistance to China, saying the communist giant that has sent a man into orbit no longer needs such economic help.
"Japan is seeking to secure its power, as the country is faced with uncertainties such as a decline in population," Yamamoto said of Japan's declining birth rate.
Well-populated China, on the other hand, has a rapidly growing economy and increasing confidence.
"Not only is it developing bilateral relations with neighbors, but at the multilateral level, and Japan is worried," said Gilles Guiheux, director of the French Center for Contemporary China in Hong Kong.
"Japan is also worried that China is upgrading its military systems," Guiheux said.
But experts warned Tokyo could not secure the region's leadership without earning some trust from Beijing, which has threatened to use its veto to stop Japan's US-backed bid to also have a permanent seat on the UN Security Council.
"The Japanese government is under pressure to regain its status as a regional power," said Joseph Cheng (
"To do this, it must respect the feelings of its neighbors to win their trust," Cheng said. "It is important if Japan wants to facilitate a permanent seat on the UN Security Council for example."
Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi has angered Beijing since coming to office in 2001 through his annual visits to a controversial shrine which honors the Japanese war dead, including convicted war criminals.
China, where memories of Japanese brutality are kept alive by state propaganda, has blocked state visits between the two countries for the past three years over Koizumi's shrine pilgrimages.
The Chinese president, "Hu Jintao (
"He has used the [war memories] as a tool to pursue his own political goals. Bashing Japan has become part of the political culture."
But experts believe the political disputes between Japan and China could be tempered in part by growing economic interdependence.
"It is clear that economic forces are driving the two sides into a closer relationship," Guiheux said. "Despite the rhetoric, I don't think it will escalate to any dangerous degree."
China is Japan's second largest trade partner after the US, as key Japanese manufacturers, particularly in the electronics and auto sectors, shift production to China to benefit from its low cost labor base and growing markets.
Former Czech Republic-based Taiwanese researcher Cheng Yu-chin (鄭宇欽) has been sentenced to seven years in prison on espionage-related charges, China’s Ministry of State Security announced yesterday. China said Cheng was a spy for Taiwan who “masqueraded as a professor” and that he was previously an assistant to former Cabinet secretary-general Cho Jung-tai (卓榮泰). President-elect William Lai (賴清德) on Wednesday last week announced Cho would be his premier when Lai is inaugurated next month. Today is China’s “National Security Education Day.” The Chinese ministry yesterday released a video online showing arrests over the past 10 years of people alleged to be
THE HAWAII FACTOR: While a 1965 opinion said an attack on Hawaii would not trigger Article 5, the text of the treaty suggests the state is covered, the report says NATO could be drawn into a conflict in the Taiwan Strait if Chinese forces attacked the US mainland or Hawaii, a NATO Defense College report published on Monday says. The report, written by James Lee, an assistant research fellow at Academia Sinica’s Institute of European and American Studies, states that under certain conditions a Taiwan contingency could trigger Article 5 of NATO, under which an attack against any member of the alliance is considered an attack against all members, necessitating a response. Article 6 of the North Atlantic Treaty specifies that an armed attack in the territory of any member in Europe,
LIKE FAMILY: People now treat dogs and cats as family members. They receive the same medical treatments and tests as humans do, a veterinary association official said The number of pet dogs and cats in Taiwan has officially outnumbered the number of human newborns last year, data from the Ministry of Agriculture’s pet registration information system showed. As of last year, Taiwan had 94,544 registered pet dogs and 137,652 pet cats, the data showed. By contrast, 135,571 babies were born last year. Demand for medical care for pet animals has also risen. As of Feb. 29, there were 5,773 veterinarians in Taiwan, 3,993 of whom were for pet animals, statistics from the Animal and Plant Health Inspection Agency showed. In 2022, the nation had 3,077 pediatricians. As of last
XINJIANG: Officials are conducting a report into amending an existing law or to enact a special law to prohibit goods using forced labor Taiwan is mulling an amendment prohibiting the importation of goods using forced labor, similar to the Uyghur Forced Labor Prevention Act (UFLPA) passed by the US Congress in 2021 that imposed limits on goods produced using forced labor in China’s Xinjiang region. A government official who wished to remain anonymous said yesterday that as the US customs law explicitly prohibits the importation of goods made using forced labor, in 2021 it passed the specialized UFLPA to limit the importation of cotton and other goods from China’s Xinjiang Uyghur region. Taiwan does not have the legal basis to prohibit the importation of goods