Tue, Dec 07, 2004 - Page 3 News List

EIU forecasts victory for Chen's pan-green alliance

STAFF REPORTER

The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) in the UK has predicted a pan-green victory in Saturday's legislative elections, and has suggested that next year is probably the only year in President Chen Shui-bian's (陳水扁) second term when he will be able to make any real concessions in cross-strait relations.

According to the forecast, Chen will face less pressure to invigorate his supporters with China-bashing rhetoric, offering an opportunity for improved cross-strait relations.

But with the mayoral elections for Taipei and Kaohsiung in 2006, the EIU forecast said the window of opportunity is a brief one.

On the economic front, the forecast sees Taiwan suffering from a downturn in the global information-technology market next year, but suggests that slowing growth rates will mask other positive trends such as expansion in the sophisticated display sector and the benefits of the high-speed rail link between Taipei and Kaohsiung to be inaugurated in October next year.

This story has been viewed 2916 times.

Comments will be moderated. Remarks containing abusive and obscene language, personal attacks of any kind or promotion will be removed and the user banned.

TOP top