Tue, Nov 30, 2004 - Page 3 News List

Pan-greens will win a legislative majority: DPP poll


Vice Premier Yeh Chu-lan, right, returns to her hometown in Annan District, Tainan to campaign with legislative candidate Tang Bi-a.


The pan-green camp of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and the Taiwan Solidarity Union (TSU) will be able to win a total of 113 seats in the Dec. 11 legislative elections, a DPP official predicted yesterday.

Pan Yi-hsuan (潘儀瑄), director of the DPP's Public Opinion Survey Center, said his estimate was based on the results of the party's latest public opinion poll.

According to the poll results, Pan said, the DPP could win an estimated 97 seats, including regional, at-large and overseas community seats, while the TSU could win 16 seats.

Meanwhile, she said, the pan-blue camp of the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT), the People First Party (PFP) and the New Party will capture 98 seats, with the KMT garnering 67 seats, the PFP 30 seats and the New Party one seat.

Quoting the results of the latest DPP survey, Pan said the Non-Partisan Solidarity Union (NPSU, 無黨團結聯盟) will be able to win seven seats, and the remaining seven seats in the 225-seat legislature will be snatched by independents.

In the 2001 legislative elections, the pan-green camp won 100 seats (87 DPP seats plus 13 TSU seats); the pan-blue alliance took 115 seats (68 KMT seats plus 46 PFP seats and one New Party seat); the NPSU secured seven seats; and the remaining three seats were captured by independents.

According to the DPP's estimate, Pan said, the pan-green camp can seize 13 more seats this time, while the number of seats to be secured by the pan-blue camp could decline by 17 from the 2001 level.

Pan said the DPP has so far conducted three large-scale opinion surveys to gauge the various political groups' election prospects.

"The survey results show that the numbers of seats to be won by the PFP and the New Party remain almost the same in all three polls, while the KMT shows a downward trend," Pan said, adding that any decline in the number of KMT seats could be attributed to the fact that some of their supporters have turned to support several noted independent hopefuls, such as Li Ao (李敖), Cheng Li-wen (鄭麗文) and Shih Ming-teh (施明德).

In contrast, Pan said the pan-green camp's support rate has been rising steadily thanks to President Chen Shui-bian's (陳水扁) barnstorming-style campaign and the camp's joint campaign and vote-allocation strategies.

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